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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Sion
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Winterthur
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,07 xG 0,78
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sion 5. · Winterthur 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 +4 -1.4 9
2 Servette 4 3 0 1 +2 -0.4 9
3 Zurich 3 2 1 0 +4 +1.3 7
4 St. Gallen 3 2 0 1 +4 -1.7 6
5 Sion 3 2 0 1 +4 +2.5 6
6 Luzern 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.3 4
7 Winterthur 3 1 1 1 -1 -0.4 4
8 Basel 3 1 0 2 +1 +1.5 3
9 Lausanne 3 1 0 2 -4 -0.7 3
10 Yverdon 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.4 1
11 Grasshoppers 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.1 1
12 Young Boys 4 0 1 3 -7 -1.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Winterthur
Half-time 0–0
C. Souza 🔁
↦ T. Bouchlarhem
46′
K. Bua 🔁
↦ T. Berdayes
46′
47′
🟨 Carmine Chiappetta
50′
🔁 A. Krasniqi
↦ F. Rohner
1–0 J. Schmied
C. Souza
50′
52′
🟥 Antoine Baroan
Kevin Bua 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 M. Araz
↦ R. Schneider
62′
🔁 C. Gomis
↦ C. Chiappetta
Baltazar Costa 🟨
68′
D. Djokic 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
70′
74′
🟨 Silvan Sidler
L. Chipperfield 🔁
↦ A. Kabacalman
77′
80′
🔁 T. Schättin
↦ S. Diaby
80′
🔁 R. Arnold
↦ L. Zuffi
2–0 D. Djokic
I. Chouaref
85′
G. Rusev 🔁
↦ I. Chouaref
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sion

4-2-3-1
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
2 J. Schmied D
4 G. Diouf D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar Costa M
29 T. Berdayes M
7 I. Chouaref M
11 T. Bouchlarhem M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (9)
52 C. Souza
33 K. Bua
19 D. Djokic
21 L. Chipperfield
30 G. Rusev
32 P. Moulin
5 N. Sow
1 H. Lindner
17 J. Kronig

Coach: D. Tholot

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
24 S. Sidler D
23 G. Lekaj D
21 L. Lüthi D
18 S. Diaby D
6 R. Schneider M
7 L. Zuffi M
27 F. Rohner M
10 M. Di Giusto M
20 C. Chiappetta M
28 A. Baroan F
Bench (9)
17 A. Krasniqi
8 M. Araz
15 C. Gomis
3 T. Schättin
16 R. Arnold
1 S. Kapino
19 E. Maluvunu
29 B. Fofana
4 B. Stillhart

Coach: O. Zaric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.