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Super League
Referee: J von Mandach
Luzern
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Grasshoppers
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,10 xG 1,07
39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Grasshoppers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 13 7 4 2 +7 -1.0 25
2 Servette 13 7 3 3 +2 +0.9 24
3 Basel 13 7 1 5 +17 +9.0 22
4 Lugano 12 6 4 2 +5 -0.3 22
5 Lausanne 13 6 2 5 +3 +9.1 20
6 Luzern 12 5 4 3 +4 +0.6 19
7 St. Gallen 13 4 5 4 +5 -3.1 17
8 Yverdon 12 4 3 5 -5 -7.7 15
9 Sion 13 3 5 5 -2 +6.6 14
10 Young Boys 13 3 4 6 -6 -1.9 13
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 3 7 -8 +1.1 9
12 Winterthur 13 2 2 9 -22 -13.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
1–0 L. Winkler
L. Villiger
8′
30′
🟨 Tsiy William Ndenge
45′
🟨 Mathieu Choinière
Half-time 1–0
Adrian Grbić
penalty missed
56′
Kevin Spadanuda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
58′
2–0 D. Rrudhani
59′
J. Kadák 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
61′
S. Ottiger 🔁
↦ D. Rrudhani
61′
64′
🟨 Dirk Abels
65′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ M. Choinière
T. Owusu 🔁
↦ J. Kadák
69′
73′
🟨 Maksim Paskotsi
76′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ Lee Young-Jun
76′
🔁 T. Verón Lupi
↦ A. Bojang
Andrejs Cigaņiks 🟨
79′
J. Löfgren 🔁
↦ K. Spadanuda
79′
T. Klidje 🔁
↦ A. Grbic
79′
Stefan Knežević 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
4 L. Jaquez D
5 S. Knezevic D
14 A. Cigaņiks D
11 D. Rrudhani M
8 A. Stanković M
29 L. Winkler M
7 K. Spadanuda M
27 L. Villiger F
9 A. Grbic F
Bench (9)
16 J. Kadák
2 S. Ottiger
24 T. Owusu
3 J. Löfgren
17 T. Klidje
22 D. Ulrich
19 A. Vasovic
68 M. Walker
90 V. Vasić

Coach: M. Frick

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
26 M. Paskotši D
15 A. Seko D
16 N. Persson D
7 T. Ndenge M
19 M. Choinière M
25 A. Bojang M
10 G. Morandi M
9 N. Muci M
18 Lee Young-Jun F
Bench (9)
8 S. Kittel
11 P. Schürpf
17 T. Verón Lupi
22 B. Schmitz
53 T. Meyer
29 M. Kuttin
58 Y. Bettkober
50 L. Seji
28 S. Stroscio

Coach: M. Schällibaum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J von Mandach · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.