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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Ath Bilbao
S T U S U
3–0
Full-time
Girona
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
41%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,64 xG 0,06
45% Possession 55%
23 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 4. · Girona 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 15 4 3 +29 +24.0 49
2 Ath Madrid 22 14 6 2 +23 +19.7 48
3 Barcelona 22 14 3 5 +36 +26.5 45
4 Ath Bilbao 22 11 8 3 +13 +10.5 41
5 Villarreal 22 10 7 5 +11 +15.9 37
6 Vallecano 23 9 8 6 +3 +2.0 35
7 Girona 22 9 4 9 +1 +3.2 31
8 Osasuna 22 7 9 6 -4 -7.5 30
9 Mallorca 22 9 3 10 -9 -1.8 30
10 Betis 23 7 8 8 -4 +2.3 29
11 Sociedad 22 8 4 10 -1 +2.9 28
12 Celta 23 8 4 11 -3 +5.3 28
13 Sevilla 22 7 7 8 -6 -3.4 28
14 Getafe 22 5 9 8 +0 -4.2 24
15 Las Palmas 22 6 5 11 -9 -22.0 23
16 Leganes 22 5 8 9 -11 -20.7 23
17 Espanol 22 6 5 11 -12 -17.4 23
18 Alaves 22 5 6 11 -9 -3.5 21
19 Valencia 22 4 7 11 -15 -10.1 19
20 Valladolid 23 4 3 16 -33 -22.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Girona
Mikel Jauregizar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
1–0 Oihan Sancet
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Oihan Sancet
Álex Berenguer
46′
46′
🔁 D. Blind
↦ Miguel Gutiérrez
63′
🟨 Bryan Gil
Maroan Sannadi 🔁
↦ Gorka Guruzeta
65′
66′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ Abel Ruiz
67′
🔁 Y. Asprilla
↦ V. Tsyhankov
67′
🔁 G. Misehouy
↦ Bryan Gil
71′
🟨 Juanpe
74′
🟨 Yangel Herrera
Mikel Vesga 🔁
↦ Beñat Prados
76′
Yuri 🔁
↦ Adama Boiro
76′
76′
🔁 J. Solís
↦ Iván Martín
3–0 Oihan Sancet
I. Williams
79′
Peio Canales 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
84′
Endika Buján 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
84′
88′
🟨 Ladislav Krejčí
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
5 Yeray D
32 Adama Boiro D
23 Mikel Jauregizar M
24 Beñat Prados M
9 I. Williams M
8 Oihan Sancet M
7 Álex Berenguer M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (11)
21 Maroan Sannadi
6 Mikel Vesga
17 Yuri
28 Peio Canales
43 Endika Buján
20 Unai Gómez
33 Aingeru Olabarrieta
4 Aitor Paredes
2 Andoni Gorosabel
15 Lekue
13 Julen Agirrezabala

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
16 Alejandro Francés D
15 Juanpe D
18 L. Krejčí D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
21 Y. Herrera M
23 Iván Martín M
8 V. Tsyhankov M
6 D. van de Beek M
20 Bryan Gil M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
17 D. Blind
7 C. Stuani
10 Y. Asprilla
27 G. Misehouy
22 J. Solís
4 Arnau Martínez
5 David López
25 V. Krapyvtsov
35 A. Yaakobishvili
1 Juan Carlos
14 Oriol Romeu
24 Portu

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,84
B
5,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.