La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Bilbao
Girona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | +29 | +24.0 | 49 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +23 | +19.7 | 48 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | +36 | +26.5 | 45 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | +13 | +10.5 | 41 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +11 | +15.9 | 37 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +3 | +2.0 | 35 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | +1 | +3.2 | 31 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | -4 | -7.5 | 30 |
| 9 |
Mallorca
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -9 | -1.8 | 30 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -4 | +2.3 | 29 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -1 | +2.9 | 28 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -3 | +5.3 | 28 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -6 | -3.4 | 28 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | +0 | -4.2 | 24 |
| 15 |
Las Palmas
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -9 | -22.0 | 23 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -11 | -20.7 | 23 |
| 17 |
Espanol
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -12 | -17.4 | 23 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -9 | -3.5 | 21 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -15 | -10.1 | 19 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -33 | -22.0 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Unai Simón
G
Yeray
D
Adama Boiro
D
Mikel Jauregizar
M
Beñat Prados
M
I. Williams
M
Oihan Sancet
M
Álex Berenguer
M
Gorka Guruzeta
F
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
P. Gazzaniga
G
Alejandro Francés
D
L. Krejčí
D
Miguel Gutiérrez
D
Y. Herrera
M
Iván Martín
M
V. Tsyhankov
M
D. van de Beek
M
Bryan Gil
M
Abel Ruiz
F
Coach: Míchel Sánchez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Betis
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Plzen
Ath Bilbao
Leganes
Besiktas
Ath Bilbao
Celta
Ath Bilbao
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.