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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Metz

U U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Clermont

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 39%

48%

29%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

33%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 3. · Clermont 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	22	14	4	4	+18	46
2	Paris FC	22	13	4	5	+15	43
3	Metz	21	10	8	3	+16	38
4	Guingamp	22	12	2	8	+13	38
5	Dunkerque	21	11	3	7	+5	36
6	Annecy	22	10	6	6	+2	36
7	Laval	22	9	7	6	+10	34
8	Grenoble	22	9	4	9	-1	31
9	Bastia	22	6	12	4	+6	30
10	Pau FC	22	7	8	7	-1	29
11	Amiens	22	9	2	11	-8	29
12	Troyes	22	8	3	11	+0	27
13	Clermont	21	6	6	9	-5	24
14	Ajaccio	22	7	3	12	-12	24
15	Rodez	22	6	5	11	-5	23
16	Red Star	22	6	5	11	-16	23
17	Martigues	22	5	3	14	-24	18
18	Caen	21	4	3	14	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	10	1	0	+19	31
2	Metz	11	7	4	0	+16	25
3	Grenoble	12	7	3	2	+8	24
4	Dunkerque	11	8	0	3	+7	24
5	Paris FC	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Amiens	11	7	2	2	+5	23
7	Guingamp	11	6	2	3	+13	20
8	Bastia	11	4	7	0	+8	19
9	Pau FC	10	5	4	1	+7	19
10	Annecy	10	6	1	3	+4	19
11	Laval	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Ajaccio	11	5	2	4	+0	17
13	Troyes	10	4	2	4	+3	14
14	Rodez	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Clermont	11	2	5	4	+0	11
16	Caen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
17	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-7	11
18	Martigues	12	1	1	10	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	11	6	2	3	+6	20
2	Guingamp	11	6	0	5	+0	18
3	Annecy	12	4	5	3	-2	17
4	Laval	11	4	4	3	+6	16
5	Lorient	11	4	3	4	-1	15
6	Martigues	10	4	2	4	-9	14
7	Metz	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Troyes	12	4	1	7	-3	13
9	Clermont	10	4	1	5	-5	13
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Red Star	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Bastia	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Rodez	11	2	4	5	-2	10
14	Pau FC	12	2	4	6	-8	10
15	Grenoble	10	2	1	7	-9	7
16	Ajaccio	11	2	1	8	-12	7
17	Amiens	11	2	0	9	-13	6
18	Caen	10	1	1	8	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.