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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Cosenza

T U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Carrarese

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

33%

38%

Both score Ø 48%

58%

38%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cosenza 19. · Carrarese 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	24	17	4	3	+28	55
2	Pisa	24	15	6	3	+18	51
3	Spezia	24	13	9	2	+23	48
4	Cremonese	24	10	7	7	+9	37
5	Catanzaro	24	7	14	3	+7	35
6	Bari	24	7	12	5	+5	33
7	Juve Stabia	24	8	9	7	-3	33
8	Palermo	24	8	6	10	+2	30
9	Modena	24	6	12	6	+1	30
10	Cesena	24	8	6	10	-2	30
11	Brescia	25	6	11	8	-3	29
12	Reggiana	24	7	7	10	-4	28
13	Mantova	24	6	10	8	-5	28
14	Cittadella	24	7	7	10	-14	28
15	Carrarese	24	7	6	11	-9	27
16	Sampdoria	24	5	10	9	-7	25
17	Salernitana	25	6	7	12	-10	25
18	Sudtirol	24	7	4	13	-11	25
19	Cosenza	24	4	10	10	-8	22
20	Frosinone	24	4	9	11	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Pisa	12	9	3	0	+15	30
3	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
4	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Catanzaro	13	5	6	2	+7	21
6	Bari	13	5	6	2	+4	21
7	Carrarese	12	6	3	3	+3	21
8	Modena	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+3	19
10	Palermo	12	5	3	4	+4	18
11	Salernitana	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Juve Stabia	11	5	3	3	+0	18
13	Cremonese	12	4	5	3	+0	17
14	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Brescia	13	3	6	4	+0	15
16	Sampdoria	12	3	4	5	-2	13
17	Cittadella	12	2	6	4	-3	12
18	Cosenza	12	2	6	4	-3	12
19	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Frosinone	12	2	5	5	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Spezia	13	5	6	2	+8	21
3	Pisa	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Cremonese	12	6	2	4	+9	20
5	Cittadella	12	5	1	6	-11	16
6	Juve Stabia	13	3	6	4	-3	15
7	Catanzaro	11	2	8	1	+0	14
8	Brescia	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
10	Bari	11	2	6	3	+1	12
11	Palermo	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Reggiana	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Modena	12	1	7	4	-5	10
16	Frosinone	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Mantova	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Cesena	12	2	2	8	-8	8
19	Salernitana	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Carrarese	12	1	3	8	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.