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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Ferrol
T T U T S
1–3
Full-time
Castellon
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
33%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
38%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 20. · Castellon 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 6 5 +13 48
2 Almeria 25 12 8 5 +13 44
3 Mirandes 25 13 5 7 +11 44
4 Huesca 25 12 7 6 +15 43
5 Elche 25 12 7 6 +13 43
6 Oviedo 25 12 7 6 +6 43
7 Levante 25 11 9 5 +12 42
8 Granada 25 11 7 7 +11 40
9 Sp Gijon 25 9 8 8 +4 35
10 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
11 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
12 Cordoba 25 9 6 10 -7 33
13 La Coruna 25 8 8 9 +3 32
14 Eibar 25 9 5 11 -3 32
15 Cadiz 25 7 10 8 -1 31
16 Malaga 25 6 13 6 -1 31
17 Castellon 25 8 5 12 -4 29
18 Burgos 24 7 6 11 -10 27
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 24 4 10 10 -19 22
21 Tenerife 25 4 7 14 -15 19
22 Cartagena 25 4 3 18 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Nov -24 Castellon – Ferrol 0–0

Match report

Ferrol Castellon
4′
Naldo 1–0
own goal
Aleksa Puric 🟨
10′
14′
Raúl Sánchez 1–1
G. Zarfino
Luis Perea 🔁
↦ Álvaro Sanz
32′
E. Cabaco 🔁
↦ A. Puric
32′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Giovanni Zarfino
46′
🟨 Álex Calatrava
46′
🔁 Gonzalo Pastor
↦ Cala
50′
🟨 Alberto Jiménez
58′
🟨 Giovanni Zarfino
58′
🟥 Giovanni Zarfino
Héber Pena 🔁
↦ Aitor Gelardo
59′
Naim García 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
59′
63′
🔁 K. Mamah
↦ N. Markanich
63′
🔁 Óscar Gil
↦ Douglas Aurélio
2–1 Josep Señé
68′
74′
🔁 De Miguel
↦ Israel Suero
78′
T. van den Belt 2–2
De Miguel
Chiki 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
82′
89′
🔁 Sergio Moyita
↦ Raúl Sánchez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
3 Rober Correa D
17 Josué Dorrio M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
21 Raúl Blanco F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (12)
24 Luis Perea
23 E. Cabaco
8 Héber Pena
2 Naim García
7 Chiki
13 Yoel Rodríguez
19 Manu Vallejo
11 Nacho Sánchez
18 Brais Martínez
1 Emilio Bernad
12 E. Insúa
15 David Castro

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Castellon

3-4-1-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
11 Douglas Aurélio M
2 G. Zarfino M
6 T. van den Belt M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
21 Cala F
20 N. Markanich F
4 Israel Suero F
Bench (12)
51 Gonzalo Pastor
8 K. Mamah
14 Óscar Gil
9 De Miguel
7 Sergio Moyita
19 A. Mabil
35 Sergi Torner
3 M. Traoré
12 M. Jojić
29 Santi Borikó
13 A. Abedzadeh
16 B. Cipenga

Coach: J. Plat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U
3,08
B ✓
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.