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Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Stuttgart

S S T S T

2–3

Full-time

Freiburg

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

1,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

2,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · Freiburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.