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Bundesliga

Referee: M Gräfe

Wolfsburg

T U U U U

2–1

Full-time

Bielefeld

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · Bielefeld 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+14	12
3	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Stuttgart	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	2	1	-2	8
7	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Union Berlin	5	1	3	1	+2	6
11	Leverkusen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Freiburg	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	Wolfsburg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Bielefeld	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Hertha	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-17	1
18	Mainz	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	FC Koln	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Leverkusen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
9	Hertha	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.