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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Bielefeld
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
19%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
41%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · Stuttgart 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 3 4 +53 63
2 Dortmund 27 18 3 6 +29 57
3 Leverkusen 27 14 6 7 +25 48
4 RB Leipzig 27 13 6 8 +27 45
5 Freiburg 27 12 9 6 +14 45
6 Hoffenheim 27 13 5 9 +9 44
7 Union Berlin 28 11 8 9 -4 41
8 FC Koln 28 10 10 8 -3 40
9 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 8 9 +1 38
10 Mainz 26 11 4 11 +9 37
11 M'gladbach 27 9 6 12 -13 33
12 Bochum 27 9 5 13 -11 32
13 Wolfsburg 27 9 4 14 -13 31
14 Stuttgart 27 6 8 13 -15 26
15 Augsburg 26 6 8 12 -15 26
16 Hertha 27 7 5 15 -31 26
17 Bielefeld 27 5 10 12 -16 25
18 Greuther Furth 27 3 6 18 -46 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Stuttgart
24′
ℹ️ Chris Führich
VAR: Penalty awarded
25′
S. Kalajdzic 0–1
Cedric Brunner 🟨
27′
29′
🟨 Saša Kalajdžić
33′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Tiago Tomás
1–1 F. Krüger
J. Serra
59′
J. Laursen 🔁
↦ A. Andrade
62′
F. Klos 🔁
↦ J. Serra
62′
M. Okugawa 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
70′
70′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ C. Führich
73′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
78′
🔁 A. Tibidi
↦ Omar Marmoush
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ F. Krüger
84′
N. De Medina 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
84′
97′
🟨 Orel Mangala
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
30 A. Andrade D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
21 R. Hack M
20 P. Wimmer M
23 J. Serra F
18 F. Krüger M
Bench (9)
5 J. Laursen
9 F. Klos
11 M. Okugawa
10 B. Lasme
15 N. De Medina
7 G. Castro
16 F. Kunze
3 Guilherme Ramos
13 S. Kapino

Coach: F. Kramer

Stuttgart

4-3-3
1 F. Müller G
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
22 C. Führich M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
17 Omar Marmoush F
18 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
23 O. Mangala
50 A. Tibidi
34 Ö. Beyaz
7 T. Coulibaly
30 R. Massimo
11 E. Thommy
8 E. Millot
33 F. Bredlow
43 L. Bazzoli

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U ✓
3,33
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.