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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Werder Bremen
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
42%
8%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 8 4 1 +29 28
2 Union Berlin 12 8 2 2 +12 26
3 Dortmund 13 8 1 4 +8 25
4 Freiburg 12 7 3 2 +5 24
5 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 RB Leipzig 13 6 4 3 +6 22
7 M'gladbach 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Werder Bremen 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Hoffenheim 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 Mainz 13 5 3 5 -4 18
11 Wolfsburg 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 FC Koln 12 4 5 3 -3 17
13 Augsburg 13 4 2 7 -7 14
14 Hertha 13 2 5 6 -4 11
15 Stuttgart 13 2 5 6 -8 11
16 Leverkusen 12 2 3 7 -9 9
17 Bochum 13 2 1 10 -24 7
18 Schalke 04 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
17′
ℹ️ Alex Král
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 N. Füllkrug
M. Weiser
30′
43′
🟨 Simon Terodde
Half-time 1–0
Miloš Veljković 🟨
55′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
59′
64′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ M. Bülter
C. Groß 🔁
↦ I. Gruev
67′
A. Jung 🔁
↦ M. Friedl
68′
Leonardo Bittencourt 🟨
69′
76′
🔁 D. Drexler
↦ T. Krauß
2–0 M. Ducksch
M. Weiser
76′
J. Stage 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
77′
Amos Pieper 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Kenan Karaman
84′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ F. Mollet
89′
D. Drexler 2–1
S. Polter
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
13 M. Veljković D
4 N. Stark D
8 M. Weiser M
20 R. Schmid M
28 I. Gruev M
10 L. Bittencourt M
32 M. Friedl M
11 N. Füllkrug F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
9 O. Burke
36 C. Groß
3 A. Jung
6 J. Stage
23 N. Rapp
21 E. Dinkçi
39 F. Chiarodia
22 N. Schmidt
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: O. Werner

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
13 A. Schwolow G
27 C. Brunner D
4 M. Yoshida D
41 H. Matriciani D
29 T. Mohr D
30 A. Král M
6 T. Krauß M
19 K. Karaman M
20 F. Mollet M
11 M. Bülter M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
7 J. Larsson
24 D. Drexler
40 S. Polter
8 D. Latza
44 S. Sané
23 M. Aydın
15 T. Kolodziejczak
17 F. Flick
28 J. Heekeren

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
4,35
B
4,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.