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DFB-Pokal

Referee: T Gerach

M'gladbach

T S U T S

3–1

Full-time

Heidenheim

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

7,0

8,0

Scored

7,0

8,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+7,0

+8,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 9. · Heidenheim 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
11	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
26	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
27	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
28	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
30	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
31	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
32	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
33	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
34	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
35	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.