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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Augsburg
T T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,12 xG 1,49
45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -24 Augsburg – Werder Bremen 0–3 9. Dec -23 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 2–0 4. Mar -23 Augsburg – Werder Bremen 2–1 9. Sep -22 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 0–1 15. May -21 Augsburg – Werder Bremen 2–0

Match report

Augsburg Werder Bremen
12′
⚽ F. Agu 0–1
M. Weiser
1–1 E. Rexhbeçaj ⚽
P. Tietz
16′
2–1 S. Essende ⚽
T. Breithaupt
35′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Njinmah
↦ K. Topp
46′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ N. Stark
Arne Engels 🟨
55′
58′
⚽ J. Njinmah 2–2
M. Weiser
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ A. Maier
59′
N. Dorsch 🔁
↦ T. Breithaupt
59′
M. Bauer 🔁
↦ P. Tietz
66′
Elvis Rexhbeçaj ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ D. Giannoulis
79′
S. Mounié 🔁
↦ A. Engels
80′
81′
🔁 M. Grüll
↦ M. Ducksch
88′
🔁 L. Bittencourt
↦ R. Schmid
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 🟨
93′
Samuel Essende 🟨
93′
94′
🔁 S. Alvero
↦ S. Lynen
95′
🟨 Marco Grüll
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-3-1-2
22 N. Labrović G
3 M. Pedersen D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
13 D. Giannoulis D
8 E. Rexhbeçaj M
18 T. Breithaupt M
10 A. Maier M
27 A. Engels M
21 P. Tietz F
9 S. Essende F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
30 N. Dorsch
23 M. Bauer
11 M. Wolf
15 S. Mounié
16 R. Vargas
25 D. Klein
36 M. Kömür
7 Y. Kabadayı

Coach: J. Thorup

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 M. Zetterer G
4 N. Stark D
32 M. Friedl D
13 M. Veljković D
8 M. Weiser M
20 R. Schmid M
14 S. Lynen M
6 J. Stage M
27 F. Agu M
42 K. Topp F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
11 J. Njinmah
3 A. Jung
17 M. Grüll
10 L. Bittencourt
28 S. Alvero
22 J. Malatini
2 O. Deman
30 M. Backhaus
21 I. Hansen-Aarøen

Coach: O. Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
🔒
U ✓
3,56
🔒
B
3,07
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
U2,5
2,15
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.