Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Augsburg
Mainz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
M'gladbach
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |
FC Koln
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Mainz
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Freiburg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Augsburg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 11 |
Stuttgart
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 12 |
RB Leipzig
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 13 |
Schalke 04
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |
Leverkusen
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Bauer
D
J. Gouweleeuw
D
F. Uduokhai
D
M. Pedersen
M
E. Rexhbeçaj
M
F. Jensen
F
E. Demirović
F
Coach: E. Maaßen
R. Zentner
G
S. Bell
D
A. Hack
D
S. Widmer
M
A. Stach
M
D. Kohr
M
Aarón Martín
M
J. Burkardt
F
Coach: B. Svensson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leverkusen
Augsburg
Augsburg
Freiburg
BW Lohne
Augsburg
Augsburg
Greuther Furth
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.