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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Leverkusen
S U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,71 xG 0,45
60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
1–0 J. Quansah
A. Grimaldo
6′
25′
F. Asllani 1–1
B. Toure
37′
🟨 Andrej Kramarić
42′
🟨 Koki Machida
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Arthur Chaves
↦ K. Machida
E. Poku 🔁
↦ Arthur
46′
46′
🔁 U. Tohumcu
↦ W. Burger
47′
🟨 Leon Avdullahu
52′
T. Lemperle 1–2
F. Asllani
75′
🔁 A. Prass
↦ T. Lemperle
75′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ R. Hranac
84′
🟨 Umut Tohumcu
C. Echeverri 🔁
↦ I. Maza
84′
C. Kofane 🔁
↦ N. Tella
84′
88′
🔁 G. Promel
↦ V. Coufal
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 M. Flekken G
4 J. Quansah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapie D
13 Arthur M
24 A. Garcia M
8 R. Andrich M
20 A. Grimaldo M
30 I. Maza F
23 N. Tella F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
36 N. Lomb
28 J. Blaswich
26 A. Natali
16 A. Tape
27 J. Mensah
9 C. Echeverri
35 C. Kofane
19 E. Poku
18 A. Sarco

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
1 O. Baumann G
34 V. Coufal D
2 R. Hranac D
28 K. Machida D
13 Bernardo D
18 W. Burger M
7 L. Avdullahu M
27 A. Kramaric M
11 F. Asllani F
19 T. Lemperle F
29 B. Toure F
Bench (9)
37 L. Philipp
6 G. Promel
10 M. Damar
17 U. Tohumcu
22 A. Prass
24 D. Mokwa Ntusu
25 K. Akpoguma
33 M. Moerstedt
35 Arthur Chaves

Coach: Christian Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U
4,63
B ✓
5,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.