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Super League

Referee: Marijan Drmic

Zurich

T T T U S

0–4

Full-time

Thun

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,08 xG 1,30

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 9

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 7. · Thun 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.2	9
2	Thun	3	3	0	0	+3	-1.1	9
3	Sion	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
4	Basel	4	2	0	2	+1	+4.8	6
5	Young Boys	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
6	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
7	Zurich	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
8	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+4.3	3
9	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.8	3
10	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.9	1
11	Servette	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.9	6
2	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
4	Sion	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.5	3
5	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
6	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
8	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
10	Servette	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
12	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
2	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
3	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
5	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.4	1
7	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
8	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
10	Basel	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
11	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.5	0
12	Winterthur	2	0	0	2	-6	-4.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.