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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Schalke 04
T T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Bochum
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 9
2 Offside 7
6 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 10. · Bochum 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.5 9
2 Karlsruhe 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.3 7
3 Bielefeld 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.7 6
4 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.9 6
5 Braunschweig 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.1 6
6 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.9 6
7 Preußen Münster 3 1 1 1 +0 -2.5 4
8 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 +0 +2.8 4
9 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
10 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
11 Bochum 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.8 3
12 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.2 3
13 Magdeburg 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 0 2 -5 -3.5 3
15 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
16 Dresden 2 0 0 2 -2 +1.8 0
17 Holstein Kiel 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.1 0
18 Nurnberg 3 0 0 3 -3 +0.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Bochum
23′
ℹ️ Philipp Hofmann
VAR: Penalty confirmed
34′
🔁 M. Pannewig
↦ P. Strompf
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Philipp Hofmann
65′
G. Holtmann 0–1
70′
🔁 C. Kleine-Bekel
↦ G. Holtmann
J. Bachmann 🔁
↦ R. Schallenberg
71′
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
71′
F. Porath 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
71′
71′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ P. Hofmann
1–1 H. Kurucay
F. Porath
76′
78′
🟨 Felix Passlack
2–1 B. Lasme
S. El-Faouzi
79′
80′
🟨 Matúš Bero
85′
🔁 M. Clairicia
↦ F. Passlack
85′
🔁 F. Onyeka
↦ K. Watjen
F. Sanchez 🔁
↦ V. Becker
86′
E. Hojlund 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
17 A. Gantenbein M
6 R. Schallenberg M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
33 V. Becker M
18 C. Antwi-Adjei F
19 K. Karaman F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
28 J. Heekeren
43 M. Ayhan
14 J. Bachmann
30 A. Donkor
37 M. Gruger
15 E. Hojlund
11 B. Lasme
27 F. Porath
2 F. Sanchez

Coach: Miron Muslic

Bochum

3-1-4-2
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
7 K. Vogt D
3 P. Strompf D
34 C. Lenz M
15 F. Passlack M
8 K. Watjen M
19 M. Bero M
32 M. Wittek M
33 P. Hofmann F
17 G. Holtmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
5 C. Kleine-Bekel
9 I. Sissoko
14 M. Clairicia
18 S. Bamba
40 F. Onyeka
24 M. Pannewig
26 R. Rosch
35 K. Koscierski

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,45
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.