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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Charlton
S T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Leicester
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,63 xG 0,49
45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 10. · Leicester 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Stoke 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.3 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.6 6
3 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
4 Bristol City 3 1 2 0 +3 -0.9 5
5 Coventry 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.8 4
6 Southampton 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.4 4
7 Hull 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.1 4
8 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.4 4
9 Preston 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.5 4
10 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
11 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.8 3
12 Leicester 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.4 3
13 Watford 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.1 3
14 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
15 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
16 Millwall 2 1 0 1 -2 +0.7 3
17 Ipswich 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.0 2
18 QPR 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.5 1
19 Derby 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.8 1
20 Wrexham 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.6 0
21 Oxford 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.7 0
22 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.0 0
23 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.2 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton Leicester
Half-time 0–1
48′
I. Fatawu 0–1
B. Soumare
Conor Coventry 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Jordan Ayew
59′
🔁 P. Daka
↦ L. Page
Lloyd Jones 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 S. Thomas
↦ J. Monga
74′
🔁 H. Winks
↦ O. Skipp
C. Kelman 🔁
↦ R. Apter
75′
H. Knibbs 🔁
↦ S. Carey
76′
83′
🔁 R. Pereira
↦ H. Choudhury
83′
🔁 W. Faes
↦ I. Fatawu
J. Rankin-Costello 🔁
↦ G. Docherty
86′
T. Olaofe 🔁
↦ M. Leaburn
86′
M. Gillesphey 🔁
↦ J. Edwards
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charlton

4-1-4-1
1 T. Kaminski G
2 K. Ramsay D
5 L. Jones D
17 A. Bell D
16 J. Edwards D
6 C. Coventry M
30 R. Apter M
14 S. Carey M
10 G. Docherty M
7 T. Campbell
11 M. Leaburn F
Bench (9)
21 A. Maynard-Brewer
3 M. Gillesphey
20 Z. Mitchell
18 K. Anderson
37 I. Fullah
26 J. Rankin-Costello
41 H. Knibbs
23 C. Kelman
22 T. Olaofe

Coach: Nathan Jones

Leicester

4-2-3-1
1 J. Stolarczyk G
17 H. Choudhury D
5 C. Okoli D
23 J. Vestergaard D
33 L. Thomas D
24 B. Soumare M
22 O. Skipp M
7 I. Fatawu M
25 L. Page M
28 J. Monga M
9 J. Ayew F
Bench (9)
31 A. Begovic
21 R. Pereira
3 W. Faes
4 B. Nelson
37 W. Alves
8 H. Winks
20 P. Daka
27 W. Marcal
11 S. Thomas

Coach: Gary Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,35
U
3,30
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.