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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Lyon

S T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Metz

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,77 xG 0,56

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 8. · Metz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.9	6
2	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
9	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.6	3
10	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
11	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
16	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
17	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
18	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
6	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
7	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
8	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
10	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
11	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.