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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Dortmund
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,53 xG 0,91
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -26 Dortmund – Hamburg 3–2 8. Nov -25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 10. Feb -18 Dortmund – Hamburg 2–0 20. Sep -17 Hamburg – Dortmund 0–3 4. Apr -17 Dortmund – Hamburg 3–0

Match report

Dortmund Hamburg
1–0 S. Guirassy ⚽
K. Karetsas
9′
21′
🟨 Albert Sambi Lokonga
2–0 G. Konstantelias ⚽
M. Beier
45′
Half-time 2–0
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
54′
Julian Ryerson 🟨
58′
67′
🔁 O. Stange
↦ M. Adeline
67′
🔁 T. Moffi
↦ P. Daka
F. Mane 🔁
↦ J. Ryerson
74′
S. Inacio 🔁
↦ K. Karetsas
74′
J. Veerman 🔁
↦ F. Nmecha
74′
Samuele Inacio 🟥
77′
82′
🔁 B. Nadir
↦ J. Torunarigha
82′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ B. Jatta
K. Prates 🔁
↦ M. Beier
84′
Daniel Svensson 🟨
85′
89′
🔁 R. Philippe
↦ L. Lemke
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-3
1 G. Kobel G
22 J. Gadou D
3 W. Anton D
24 D. Svensson D
26 J. Ryerson M
7 J. Bellingham M
8 F. Nmecha M
14 M. Beier M
19 K. Karetsas F
9 S. Guirassy F
45 G. Konstantelias F
Bench (9)
33 A. Meyer
39 F. Mane
49 L. Reggiani
36 K. Prates
20 M. Sabitzer
40 S. Inacio
25 J. Veerman
21 F. Silva
41 M. Albert

Coach: Niko Kovac

Hamburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Heuer Fernandes G
24 N. Capaldo D
33 S. Bornauw D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 B. Jatta M
6 A. S. Lokonga M
21 N. Remberg M
37 L. Lemke M
5 M. Adeline F
11 A. Gronbaek F
27 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
12 S. Tangvik
43 S. Nandja
4 B. Nadir
22 K. Amoako
8 D. Elfadli
14 R. Philippe
19 O. Stange
15 Y. Poulsen
9 T. Moffi

Coach: Merlin Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
🔒
U
5,40
🔒
B
8,58
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,47
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.