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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Levante
U S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 53%
36%
70%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
70%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,9
Scored
1,1
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 12. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +17 22
2 Real Madrid 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 Granada 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +5 20
5 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +2 20
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Villarreal 11 5 2 4 +9 17
8 Valencia 12 4 5 3 -1 17
9 Ath Bilbao 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Getafe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
11 Osasuna 11 3 6 2 +1 15
12 Levante 11 4 2 5 -1 14
13 Valladolid 11 3 5 3 -3 14
14 Eibar 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Alaves 11 3 3 5 -5 12
16 Betis 11 3 3 5 -7 12
17 Mallorca 11 3 2 6 -6 11
18 Celta 11 2 3 6 -8 9
19 Espanol 12 2 2 8 -14 8
20 Leganes 11 1 2 8 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Barcelona
12′
🟨 Arthur
38′
L. Messi 0–1
41′
🔁 Carles Pérez
↦ L. Suárez
Half-time 0–1
Enis Bardhi 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Antoine Griezmann
1–1 Campaña
Morales
61′
Rochina 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
62′
2–1 Borja Mayoral
Campaña
63′
64′
🔁 Busquets
↦ A. Vidal
66′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
66′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Arthur
67′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
3–1 N. Radoja
68′
81′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Morales
82′
86′
🟨 Anssumane Fati
E. Cabaco 🔁
↦ Campaña
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
20 Jorge Miramón D
15 Sergio Postigo D
14 Rubén Vezo D
19 Carlos Clerc D
24 José Campaña M
5 Nemanja Radoja M
22 Gonzalo Melero M
10 Enis Bardhi M
11 José Luis Morales F
21 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
26 Dani Cárdenas
18 Erick Cabaco
23 Coke
16 Ruben Rochina
17 Nikola Vukčević
8 Hernani
9 Roger Martí

Coach: Paco López

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
2 Nélson Semedo D
22 Arturo Vidal M
21 Frenkie de Jong M
8 Arthur M
10 Lionel Messi F
9 Luis Suárez F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
18 Jordi Alba
6 Jean-Clair Todibo
5 Sergio Busquets
27 Carles Pérez
4 Ivan Rakitić
31 Anssumane Fati

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
8,36
U
5,92
B
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.