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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Espanol
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Valencia
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
36%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
27%
73%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,5
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 19. · Valencia 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +17 22
2 Real Madrid 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 Granada 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +5 20
5 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +2 20
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Villarreal 11 5 2 4 +9 17
8 Ath Bilbao 11 4 4 3 +4 16
9 Getafe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 Osasuna 11 3 6 2 +1 15
11 Levante 11 4 2 5 -1 14
12 Valencia 11 3 5 3 -2 14
13 Valladolid 11 3 5 3 -3 14
14 Eibar 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Alaves 11 3 3 5 -5 12
16 Betis 11 3 3 5 -7 12
17 Mallorca 11 3 2 6 -6 11
18 Celta 11 2 3 6 -8 9
19 Espanol 11 2 2 7 -13 8
20 Leganes 11 1 2 8 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Valencia
30′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
1–0 Marc Roca ⚽
31′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 Sobrino
↦ Ferran Torres
63′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ D. Cheryshev
M. Vargas 🔁
↦ Wu Lei
65′
69′
⚽ Dani Parejo 1–1
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ F. Ferreyra
74′
Granero 🔁
↦ Darder
78′
80′
⚽ M. Gómez 1–2
Rodrigo
88′
🔁 Gayà
↦ Sobrino
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Espanol

5-3-2
13 Diego López G
34 Victor Gómez Perea D
5 Naldo D
20 Bernardo Espinosa D
15 David López D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
4 Víctor Sánchez M
21 Marc Roca M
10 Sergi Darder M
7 Wu Lei F
9 Facundo Ferreyra F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
17 Didac Vila
18 Sébastien Corchia
23 Esteban Granero
14 Óscar Melendo
22 Matías Vargas
31 Víctor Campuzano Bonilla

Coach: Pablo Machín

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Jasper Cillessen G
18 Daniel Wass D
24 Ezequiel Garay D
12 Mouctar Diakhaby D
3 Jaume Costa D
20 Ferrán Torres M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia M
11 Denis Cheryshev M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Maximiliano Gómez F
Bench (7)
1 Jaume Doménech
14 José Luis Gayà
5 Gabriel Paulista
2 Thierry Correia
16 Kang-in Lee
23 Rubén Sobrino
15 Manu Vallejo

Coach: Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,21
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.