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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Valladolid
U U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Villarreal
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
23%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
23%
77%
Both score Ø 55%
36%
73%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 15. · Villarreal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 14 7 1 +27 49
2 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +26 46
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Sevilla 22 11 6 5 +7 39
5 Valencia 23 10 7 6 +1 37
6 Ath Madrid 22 9 9 4 +7 36
7 Villarreal 22 10 4 8 +9 34
8 Sociedad 22 10 4 8 +7 34
9 Ath Bilbao 22 7 10 5 +5 31
10 Granada 22 9 3 10 -2 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 22 6 10 6 +1 28
13 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
14 Alaves 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Valladolid 22 5 10 7 -6 25
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 22 5 3 14 -16 18
18 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
19 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17
20 Espanol 22 3 6 13 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Villarreal
1–0 Rubén Alcaraz
Sandro Ramírez
15′
41′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
Half-time 1–1
54′
Gerard Moreno 1–1
Iborra
Toni Villa 🟨
58′
Javi Moyano 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
Pablo Hervías 🔁
↦ Toni Suárez
65′
70′
🟨 Rubén Peña
Miguel De la Fuente 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
70′
72′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ Paco Alcácer
Raúl García 🟨
78′
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
78′
84′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Moi Gómez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
27 Mohammed Salisu D
6 Raúl García D
10 Óscar Plano M
21 Míchel Herrero M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
19 Toni Villa M
20 Sandro Ramírez F
9 Enes Ünal F
Bench (7)
26 Samuel Pérez
18 Antoñito
5 Javi Sánchez
11 Pablo Hervias
16 Fede San Emeterio
3 Hatem Ben Arfa
29 Miguel De La Fuente

Coach: Sergio

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
3 Raúl Albiol D
6 Ramiro Funes Mori D
20 Rubén Peña D
23 Moi Gómez M
14 Manu Trigueros M
10 Vicente Iborra M
8 Santi Cazorla M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
13 Andrés Fernández
22 Soufiane Chakla
16 Xavier Quintilla
24 Javier Ontiveros
11 Samuel Chukwueze
9 Carlos Bacca
34 Fernando Niño

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,19
B
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.