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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Barcelona

U S S T U

3–2

Full-time

Elche

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 28%

38%

18%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 61%

63%

59%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%

19 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 0

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 8. · Elche 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	Sevilla	16	10	4	2	+15	34
3	Betis	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Vallecano	18	9	3	6	+8	30
5	Ath Madrid	16	8	5	3	+9	29
6	Sociedad	18	8	5	5	+0	29
7	Valencia	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Barcelona	16	6	6	4	+6	24
9	Espanol	18	6	5	7	-1	23
10	Villarreal	17	5	7	5	+3	22
11	Osasuna	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	+1	21
13	Celta	18	5	5	8	-2	20
14	Mallorca	17	4	8	5	-7	20
15	Granada	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Elche	17	3	6	8	-8	15
17	Alaves	17	4	3	10	-11	15
18	Cadiz	17	2	7	8	-16	13
19	Getafe	17	2	6	9	-9	12
20	Levante	17	0	8	9	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+12	19
5	Betis	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Valencia	9	4	4	1	+6	16
8	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Sociedad	9	4	3	2	+0	15
10	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Mallorca	9	2	6	1	+1	12
12	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Elche	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Alaves	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Granada	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
19	Levante	8	0	6	2	-5	6
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Betis	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Osasuna	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Celta	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
9	Valencia	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Villarreal	9	1	5	3	-2	8
11	Granada	9	1	5	3	-4	8
12	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Mallorca	8	2	2	4	-8	8
14	Barcelona	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	Alaves	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Elche	9	1	2	6	-7	5
17	Vallecano	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
19	Espanol	9	0	3	6	-8	3
20	Levante	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.