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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
St. Gilloise
S T S S S
3–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 17/21 matches
Win Ø 58%
82%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
71%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
53%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Cercle Brugge 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 17 14 1 2 +31 43
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 17 10 2 5 +11 32
6 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
9 Cercle Brugge 21 7 4 10 +0 25
10 Eupen 20 7 4 9 -1 25
11 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
12 Mechelen 16 7 2 7 -3 23
13 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
14 St Truiden 20 6 3 11 -12 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 4 8 8 -11 20
16 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
17 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Waregem 20 4 5 11 -20 17
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge
8′
E. Utkus 0–1
D. Hotič
20′
🔁 Sousa
↦ E. Utkus
24′
R. Matondo 0–2
Ismael Kandouss 🟨
27′
29′
🟨 Jesper Daland
Teddy Teuma 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
L. Amani 🔁
↦ J. Bager
46′
Casper Nielsen 🟨
49′
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
56′
1–2 K. Mitoma
57′
63′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
68′
🟨 Thibo Somers
2–2 B. Nieuwkoop
75′
77′
🟨 Leonardo Lopes
80′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ O. Deman
81′
🔁 Vitinho
↦ D. Velkovski
G. François 🔁
↦ I. Kandouss
86′
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
90′
2–3 J. Daland
own goal
90′
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
8 L. Amani
19 G. François
25 D. Marcq
90 F. Avenatti
21 L. Pirard
24 I. Ziani
7 M. Sorinola

Coach: F. Mazzù

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
19 D. Velkovski D
4 J. Daland D
8 R. Decostere D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
6 E. Utkus D
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (7)
3 Sousa
14 C. Vanhoutte
29 Álex Millán
2 Vitinho
21 Warleson
42 A. Sampers
98 F. Kanoute

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,27
B
5,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.