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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Cagliari
U U U U T
0–4
Full-time
Udinese
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 12%
6%
18%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 18. · Udinese 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 13 4 1 +33 43
2 Milan 17 12 3 2 +17 39
3 Atalanta 18 11 4 3 +14 37
4 Napoli 17 11 3 3 +21 36
5 Roma 18 10 1 7 +10 31
6 Juventus 18 9 4 5 +8 31
7 Fiorentina 17 10 0 7 +9 30
8 Lazio 18 8 4 6 +3 28
9 Empoli 17 8 2 7 -2 26
10 Bologna 18 7 3 8 -7 24
11 Verona 17 6 5 6 +3 23
12 Sassuolo 17 6 5 6 +2 23
13 Torino 17 6 4 7 +4 22
14 Sampdoria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
15 Udinese 17 3 8 6 -6 17
16 Venezia 17 4 4 9 -14 16
17 Spezia 17 3 3 11 -21 12
18 Cagliari 17 1 7 9 -17 10
19 Genoa 18 1 7 10 -18 10
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Udinese
4′
J. Makengo 0–1
D. Udogie
Răzvan Marin 🟨
39′
Dalbert 🟨
43′
45′
Deulofeu 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Cáceres 🔁
↦ A. Carboni
46′
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ Dalbert Henrique
46′
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ N. Nández
46′
50′
N. Molina 0–3
Răzvan Marin 🟨
66′
Răzvan Marin 🟥
66′
69′
Deulofeu 0–4
J. Makengo
70′
🟨 Gerard Deulofeu
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
70′
G. Zappa 🔁
↦ L. Ceppitelli
70′
Raoul Bellanova 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 I. Pussetto
↦ Deulofeu
75′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ T. Arslan
80′
🔁 M. Zeegelaar
↦ D. Udogie
80′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ N. Molina
84′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
87′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ Beto
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2
28 A. Cragno G
2 D. Godín D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
29 Dalbert Henrique M
12 R. Bellanova M
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Grassi M
8 R. Marin M
18 N. Nández M
30 L. Pavoletti F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (12)
4 M. Cáceres
22 C. Lykogiannis
9 K. Baldé
14 A. Deiola
25 G. Zappa
24 P. Faragò
15 G. Altare
33 A. Obert
31 B. Radunović
21 C. Oliva
20 G. Pereiro
1 S. Aresti

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
13 D. Udogie M
5 T. Arslan M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
10 Deulofeu F
9 Beto F
Bench (11)
23 I. Pussetto
8 M. Jajalo
4 M. Zeegelaar
93 B. Soppy
24 L. Samardžić
30 I. Nestorovski
87 S. De Maio
45 F. Forestieri
20 D. Padelli
65 M. Carnelos
2 N. Pérez

Coach: G. Cioffi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,30
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.