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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Bochum
T S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 11. · Union Berlin 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 14 1 2 +40 43
2 Dortmund 16 11 1 4 +16 34
3 Leverkusen 16 8 4 4 +13 28
4 Hoffenheim 16 8 3 5 +9 27
5 Freiburg 16 7 5 4 +11 26
6 Mainz 16 7 3 6 +9 24
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 6 4 +2 24
8 Union Berlin 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 RB Leipzig 16 6 4 6 +10 22
10 FC Koln 16 5 7 4 -1 22
11 Bochum 16 6 2 8 -9 20
12 Wolfsburg 17 6 2 9 -12 20
13 M'gladbach 16 5 3 8 -10 18
14 Hertha 16 5 3 8 -16 18
15 Stuttgart 16 4 5 7 -8 17
16 Augsburg 16 4 5 7 -9 17
17 Bielefeld 16 2 7 7 -10 13
18 Greuther Furth 16 1 1 14 -36 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Union Berlin
16′
M. Kruse 0–1
G. Prömel
Erhan Mašović 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–1
H. Bockhorn 🔁
↦ K. Stafylidis
60′
64′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ T. Awoniyi
64′
🔁 G. Haraguchi
↦ S. Becker
Danilo Soares 🟨
70′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
75′
S. Novothny 🔁
↦ P. Osterhage
75′
76′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ M. Kruse
76′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ C. Trimmel
90′
🔁 K. Möhwald
↦ R. Khedira
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
3 Danilo Soares D
16 K. Stafylidis D
29 M. Leitsch D
8 A. Losilla M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
6 P. Osterhage M
40 S. Polter F
27 M. Pantović F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
11 H. Bockhorn
35 S. Ganvoula
15 S. Novothny
28 L. Hartwig
24 V. Lampropoulos
21 M. Esser
23 R. Tesche
37 A. Bella-Kotchap
2 C. Gamboa

Coach: T. Reis

Union Berlin

3-4-1-2
1 A. Luthe G
20 B. Oczipka M
28 C. Trimmel M
31 R. Knoche D
5 M. Friedrich D
3 P. Jaeckel D
8 R. Khedira M
21 G. Prömel M
10 M. Kruse F
27 S. Becker F
14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (9)
17 K. Behrens
24 G. Haraguchi
9 A. Voglsammer
6 J. Ryerson
30 K. Möhwald
25 T. Baumgartl
19 F. Rønnow
23 N. Gießelmann
18 K. Endo

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,31
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.