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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Elche

T T S U T

0–4

Full-time

Barcelona

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

85%

Points per game

0,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 37%

50%

23%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,9

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,81 xG 1,74

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 20. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	22	2	2	+40	+7.0	68
2	Real Madrid	26	17	5	4	+30	+9.6	56
3	Ath Madrid	26	15	6	5	+23	+7.5	51
4	Sociedad	26	14	6	6	+11	+2.3	48
5	Betis	26	13	6	7	+8	+4.1	45
6	Villarreal	26	12	5	9	+8	+3.3	41
7	Ath Bilbao	27	10	7	10	+8	+1.4	37
8	Vallecano	26	9	9	8	+1	-0.2	36
9	Osasuna	27	9	8	10	-5	-8.1	35
10	Girona	27	9	7	11	+0	-2.6	34
11	Celta	26	9	7	10	-3	+1.9	34
12	Mallorca	27	9	6	12	-5	-3.5	33
13	Sevilla	27	8	7	12	-11	+3.2	31
14	Getafe	27	7	9	11	-7	+0.2	30
15	Valladolid	26	8	4	14	-18	-7.9	28
16	Cadiz	27	6	10	11	-19	-3.3	28
17	Espanol	27	6	9	12	-11	-1.1	27
18	Valencia	26	7	5	14	-3	-4.0	26
19	Almeria	26	7	5	14	-15	-3.0	26
20	Elche	26	2	7	17	-32	-6.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	2	0	+25	+5.2	35
2	Real Madrid	12	8	4	0	+17	+8.4	28
3	Ath Madrid	13	7	3	3	+14	+5.8	24
4	Betis	13	7	3	3	+7	+1.5	24
5	Girona	14	7	3	4	+6	+1.4	24
6	Villarreal	12	7	2	3	+7	+3.3	23
7	Almeria	14	7	2	5	+3	+0.5	23
8	Sociedad	13	6	4	3	+3	+2.7	22
9	Mallorca	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.1	22
10	Ath Bilbao	14	6	3	5	+7	+0.9	21
11	Valencia	13	6	2	5	+8	+2.0	20
12	Vallecano	13	5	5	3	+4	-0.1	20
13	Valladolid	13	6	2	5	-1	-0.2	20
14	Celta	13	5	4	4	+5	+2.7	19
15	Getafe	14	5	4	5	+0	-0.4	19
16	Osasuna	13	6	1	6	-2	-3.3	19
17	Sevilla	13	5	3	5	+0	+9.1	18
18	Cadiz	14	4	6	4	-5	+1.1	18
19	Espanol	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.3	13
20	Elche	13	1	4	8	-10	+1.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	0	2	+15	+1.8	33
2	Real Madrid	14	9	1	4	+13	+1.2	28
3	Ath Madrid	13	8	3	2	+9	+1.7	27
4	Sociedad	13	8	2	3	+8	-0.4	26
5	Betis	13	6	3	4	+1	+2.6	21
6	Villarreal	14	5	3	6	+1	-0.1	18
7	Ath Bilbao	13	4	4	5	+1	+0.6	16
8	Vallecano	13	4	4	5	-3	-0.1	16
9	Osasuna	14	3	7	4	-3	-4.7	16
10	Celta	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.8	15
11	Espanol	14	3	5	6	-5	-3.3	14
12	Sevilla	14	3	4	7	-11	-5.9	13
13	Getafe	13	2	5	6	-7	+0.6	11
14	Mallorca	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.7	11
15	Girona	13	2	4	7	-6	-4.0	10
16	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-14	-4.4	10
17	Valladolid	13	2	2	9	-17	-7.7	8
18	Valencia	13	1	3	9	-11	-6.0	6
19	Elche	13	1	3	9	-22	-8.0	6
20	Almeria	12	0	3	9	-18	-3.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.