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La Liga

Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura

Alaves

S S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,92 xG 1,09

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 11. · Ath Madrid 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.5	6
4	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
5	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
6	Elche	3	1	2	0	+2	-2.3	5
7	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
9	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
10	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
11	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
12	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
13	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
14	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
15	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
16	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
18	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.3	0
19	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
20	Girona	2	0	0	2	-7	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
3	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
4	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
5	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
10	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
11	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
13	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
14	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
16	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
17	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
5	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
6	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
7	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
11	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
13	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
16	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.