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Bundesliga

Referee: G Grobelnik

Sturm Graz

S U T S U

0–1

Full-time

Wolfsberger AC

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

5,7

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

48%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

64%

Both score Ø 56%

52%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Wolfsberger AC 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	25	20	1	4	+50	61
2	SK Rapid	25	14	7	4	+22	49
3	LASK	25	14	3	8	+18	45
4	Sturm Graz	25	12	7	6	+13	43
5	Wolfsberger AC	25	11	3	11	-5	36
6	Hartberg	26	9	9	8	-12	36
7	Tirol	25	9	6	10	+2	33
8	Austria Vienna	26	8	8	10	+1	32
9	Altach	26	7	4	15	-25	25
10	Ried	26	6	6	14	-22	24
11	St. Polten	26	5	7	14	-13	22
12	Admira	26	5	5	16	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	0	2	+29	33
2	Sturm Graz	12	9	1	2	+13	28
3	SK Rapid	13	8	3	2	+12	27
4	LASK	12	8	0	4	+15	24
5	Hartberg	13	5	5	3	-2	20
6	Tirol	12	4	4	4	+3	16
7	Austria Vienna	13	3	6	4	-2	15
8	Altach	13	4	3	6	-7	15
9	Ried	13	4	3	6	-10	15
10	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	3	7	-14	12
11	Admira	13	3	2	8	-12	11
12	St. Polten	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	9	1	2	+21	28
2	Wolfsberger AC	12	8	0	4	+9	24
3	SK Rapid	12	6	4	2	+10	22
4	LASK	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	2	6	+3	17
6	Tirol	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	St. Polten	13	4	4	5	+0	16
8	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	-10	16
9	Sturm Graz	13	3	6	4	+0	15
10	Altach	13	3	1	9	-18	10
11	Ried	13	2	3	8	-12	9
12	Admira	13	2	3	8	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.