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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Osasuna
U U U S S
3–1
Full-time
Valencia
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
29%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
39%
65%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 12. · Valencia 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 31 21 7 3 +37 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 7 4 +29 67
3 Barcelona 30 20 5 5 +43 65
4 Sevilla 31 20 4 7 +21 64
5 Villarreal 31 12 13 6 +14 49
6 Betis 31 14 6 11 -3 48
7 Sociedad 31 12 11 8 +15 47
8 Granada 30 11 6 13 -14 39
9 Levante 31 9 11 11 -6 38
10 Celta 31 9 11 11 -7 38
11 Ath Bilbao 30 9 10 11 +6 37
12 Osasuna 31 9 10 12 -9 37
13 Cadiz 31 9 9 13 -18 36
14 Valencia 31 8 11 12 -5 35
15 Getafe 31 7 10 14 -12 31
16 Valladolid 30 5 12 13 -14 27
17 Huesca 31 5 12 14 -15 27
18 Alaves 31 6 9 16 -22 27
19 Elche 31 5 11 15 -21 26
20 Eibar 31 4 11 16 -19 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Valencia
1–0 Javi Martínez
J. Calleri
13′
27′
🟨 Gonçalo Guedes
30′
K. Gameiro 1–1
Gonçalo Guedes
2–1 J. Calleri
Javi Martínez
32′
Half-time 2–1
Oier 🟨
47′
52′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ Y. Musah
52′
🔁 C. Oliva
↦ U. Račić
Nacho Vidal ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
Moncayola 🔁
↦ Oier
63′
Rubén García 🔁
↦ Adrián
63′
66′
🟨 Mouctar Diakhaby
3–1 Roberto Torres
67′
68′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ D. Cheryshev
D. Brašanac 🔁
↦ Javi Martínez
74′
A. Budimir 🔁
↦ J. Calleri
78′
E. Ávila 🔁
↦ Roberto Torres
78′
80′
🔁 Jason
↦ Guillem Molina
80′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ K. Gameiro
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-3-3
1 Sergio Herrera G
23 Aridane D
6 Oier M
5 David García D
2 Nacho Vidal D
39 Manu Sánchez D
10 Roberto Torres F
24 Lucas Torró M
28 Javi Martínez M
20 Adrián F
16 J. Calleri F
Bench (12)
27 Moncayola
14 Rubén García
8 D. Brašanac
17 A. Budimir
9 E. Ávila
25 Juan Pérez
11 Kike Barja
12 F. Roncaglia
7 Jony
15 Jonás Ramalho
4 Unai García
19 Enric Gallego

Coach: Arrasate

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayà D
12 M. Diakhaby D
31 Guillem Molina D
18 D. Wass M
17 D. Cheryshev M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
19 U. Račić M
30 Y. Musah M
9 K. Gameiro F
Bench (12)
20 Lee Kang-In
10 C. Oliva
11 P. Cutrone
23 Jason
21 Manu Vallejo
3 Toni Lato
4 E. Mangala
16 Álex Blanco
24 C. Piccini
6 Ferro
25 Cristian Rivero
15 Hugo Guillamón

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,12
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.