La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +37 | 70 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +29 | 67 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | +43 | 65 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 64 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | +14 | 49 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 48 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +15 | 47 |
| 8 |
Granada
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 39 |
| 9 |
Levante
|
31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 38 |
| 11 |
Ath Bilbao
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | +6 | 37 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 |
Cadiz
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -18 | 36 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 |
Huesca
|
31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -22 | 27 |
| 19 |
Elche
|
31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -21 | 26 |
| 20 |
Eibar
|
31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -19 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Sergio Herrera
G
Nacho Vidal
D
Manu Sánchez
D
Lucas Torró
M
Javi Martínez
M
Coach: Arrasate
José Gayà
D
M. Diakhaby
D
D. Wass
M
Gonçalo Guedes
F
U. Račić
M
Y. Musah
M
Coach: Javi Gracia
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Osasuna
Elche
Villarreal
Osasuna
Osasuna
Getafe
Huesca
Osasuna
Osasuna
Valladolid
Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.