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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Stuttgart
S T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
34%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
69%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · Wolfsburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 22 5 3 +47 71
2 RB Leipzig 30 18 7 5 +28 61
3 Ein Frankfurt 30 15 11 4 +17 56
4 Wolfsburg 29 15 9 5 +22 54
5 Dortmund 29 15 4 10 +20 49
6 Leverkusen 30 13 8 9 +14 47
7 M'gladbach 29 11 10 8 +9 43
8 Union Berlin 29 10 13 6 +9 43
9 Freiburg 29 11 7 11 +2 40
10 Stuttgart 29 10 9 10 +5 39
11 Augsburg 30 9 6 15 -15 33
12 Hoffenheim 29 8 8 13 -6 32
13 Werder Bremen 29 7 9 13 -14 30
14 Bielefeld 30 8 6 16 -23 30
15 Mainz 28 7 7 14 -18 28
16 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
17 FC Koln 30 6 8 16 -25 26
18 Schalke 04 30 2 7 21 -58 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
13′
X. Schlager 0–1
29′
W. Weghorst 0–2
J. Brekalo
Half-time 0–2
Naouirou Ahamada 🟨
63′
D. Churlinov 🔁
↦ M. Klimowicz
63′
65′
Y. Gerhardt 0–3
J. Brekalo
66′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ M. Philipp
66′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ X. Schlager
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ P. Förster
70′
G. Castro 🔁
↦ N. Ahamada
71′
76′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ J. Brekalo
Gonzalo Castro 🟨
77′
A. Cissé 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
81′
Momo Cissé 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 B. Białek
↦ W. Weghorst
1–3 G. Castro
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
16 A. Karazor D
2 W. Anton D
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
31 M. Klimowicz F
30 R. Massimo M
7 T. Coulibaly M
32 N. Ahamada M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
Bench (9)
19 D. Churlinov
10 D. Didavi
8 G. Castro
29 A. Cissé
33 F. Bredlow
15 P. Stenzel
21 P. Klement
11 E. Thommy
6 C. Mola

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
34 M. Pongracic D
27 M. Arnold M
17 M. Philipp M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
14 A. Mehmedi
23 J. Guilavogui
33 D. Ginczek
21 B. Białek
12 P. Pervan
5 J. Bruma
4 M. Lacroix
39 T. Siersleben
40 João Victor

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U
3,78
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.