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Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Genoa
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 19. · Napoli 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lazio 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Milan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Juventus 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -5 1
15 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Verona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
20 Venezia 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Napoli
Caleb Ekuban 🟨
10′
39′
Fabián Ruiz 0–1
M. Politano
45′
🟨 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Half-time 0–1
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ Hernani
46′
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ C. Ekuban
46′
49′
🟨 Matteo Politano
Domenico Criscito 🟨
51′
Goran Pandev ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
56′
56′
ℹ️ Goran Pandev
VAR: Goal confirmed
A. Masiello 🔁
↦ Z. Vanheusden
67′
Y. Kallon 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
67′
1–1 A. Cambiaso
P. Ghiglione
69′
70′
🔁 A. Ounas
↦ H. Lozano
82′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ M. Politano
V. Behrami 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
83′
84′
A. Petagna 1–2
Mário Rui
90′
🟨 Mário Rui
92′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ E. Elmas
92′
🔁 Juan Jesus
↦ Mário Rui
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
57 S. Sirigu G
4 D. Criscito D
14 D. Biraschi D
18 P. Ghiglione M
3 Z. Vanheusden D
50 A. Cambiaso M
47 M. Badelj M
27 S. Sturaro M
33 Hernani F
65 N. Rovella M
20 C. Ekuban F
Bench (12)
19 G. Pandev
44 A. Buksa
5 A. Masiello
91 Y. Kallon
11 V. Behrami
80 K. Agudelo
10 F. Melegoni
66 L. Serpe
35 L. Andrenacci
9 A. Favilli
24 F. Bianchi
90 M. Portanova

Coach: D. Ballardini

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
44 K. Manolas D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
68 S. Lobotka M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
7 E. Elmas M
24 L. Insigne F
21 M. Politano F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (10)
33 A. Ounas
37 A. Petagna
70 G. Gaetano
5 Juan Jesus
25 D. Ospina
2 K. Malcuit
12 D. Marfella
59 A. Zanoli
15 L. Palmiero
13 A. Rrahmani

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,06
U
4,31
B ✓
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.