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Serie A

Referee: M Serra

Milan

S S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Cagliari

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 9. · Cagliari 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.