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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Inter
U S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Cagliari
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
69%
6%
Points per game
2,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%
24 Shots 5
15 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
9 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 2. · Cagliari 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 17 12 3 2 +17 39
2 Inter 16 11 4 1 +24 37
3 Atalanta 17 11 4 2 +17 37
4 Napoli 17 11 3 3 +21 36
5 Fiorentina 17 10 0 7 +9 30
6 Juventus 17 8 4 5 +6 28
7 Empoli 17 8 2 7 -2 26
8 Roma 16 8 1 7 +5 25
9 Lazio 17 7 4 6 +1 25
10 Bologna 17 7 3 7 -5 24
11 Verona 17 6 5 6 +3 23
12 Sassuolo 17 6 5 6 +2 23
13 Torino 17 6 4 7 +4 22
14 Sampdoria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
15 Udinese 17 3 8 6 -6 17
16 Venezia 17 4 4 9 -14 16
17 Spezia 16 3 3 10 -19 12
18 Cagliari 16 1 7 8 -13 10
19 Genoa 17 1 7 9 -16 10
20 Salernitana 17 2 2 13 -26 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Cagliari
1–0 Lautaro Martínez
H. Çalhanoğlu
29′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
33′
43′
🟨 Alessio Cragno
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Sánchez
N. Barella
50′
59′
🔁 C. Lykogiannis
↦ A. Grassi
3–0 H. Çalhanoğlu
A. Sánchez
66′
4–0 Lautaro Martínez
N. Barella
68′
70′
🔁 L. Pavoletti
↦ K. Baldé
71′
🔁 G. Zappa
↦ M. Cáceres
F. Dimarco 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
72′
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ M. Brozović
72′
M. Satriano 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
72′
76′
🟨 Alessandro Deiola
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
76′
M. Zanotti 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
82′
82′
🔁 C. Oliva
↦ A. Deiola
82′
🔁 A. Obert
↦ A. Carboni
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 D. Dumfries M
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
23 N. Barella M
7 A. Sánchez F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
32 F. Dimarco
22 A. Vidal
48 M. Satriano
12 S. Sensi
46 M. Zanotti
97 I. Radu
13 A. Ranocchia
5 R. Gagliardini
9 E. Džeko
33 D. D'Ambrosio
8 M. Vecino
11 A. Kolarov

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Cagliari

3-5-2
28 A. Cragno G
4 M. Cáceres D
2 D. Godín D
29 Dalbert Henrique M
12 R. Bellanova M
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Grassi M
8 R. Marin M
14 A. Deiola M
10 João Pedro F
9 K. Baldé F
Bench (10)
22 C. Lykogiannis
30 L. Pavoletti
25 G. Zappa
21 C. Oliva
33 A. Obert
32 D. Ceter
31 B. Radunović
1 S. Aresti
20 G. Pereiro
15 G. Altare

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
7,45
B
15,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,35
U2,5
3,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.