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Super League
Referee: E Manouhos
Olympiakos
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 72%
85%
58%
Points per game
2,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
62%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 13 11 2 0 +15 35
2 AEK 14 9 3 2 +12 30
3 Giannina 14 7 4 3 +14 25
4 Aris Thessalonikis 12 7 2 3 +4 23
5 Aris 13 7 2 4 +3 23
6 PAOK 14 7 1 6 +5 22
7 Panathinaikos 14 6 2 6 +10 20
8 OFI Crete 13 4 7 2 +2 19
9 Ionikos 14 4 5 5 -4 17
10 Asteras Tripolis 14 3 5 6 -1 14
11 Volos NFC 14 4 2 8 -6 14
12 Panetolikos 14 3 3 8 -15 12
13 Lamia 14 2 4 8 -7 10
14 Atromitos 14 2 3 9 -16 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
40′
🟨 Emanuel Šakić
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Cissé
Rony Lopes
54′
58′
🔁 D. Manos
↦ F. Bertoglio
59′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ P. NDiaye
67′
🟨 Dimitrios Manos
72′
🟨 Fabiano
74′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ D. Mancini
74′
🔁 Cristian López
↦ M. García
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
82′
82′
🔁 Matilla
↦ J. Jeggo
M. Camara 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
83′
Tiquinho Soares 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
84′
Garry Rodrigues 🔁
↦ A. Camara
92′
94′
🟨 Javier Matilla
Kenny Lala 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vaclík G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
27 K. Lala D
66 P. Cissé D
45 O. Reabciuk D
6 Y. M'Vila M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
10 Rony Lopes F
22 A. Camara M
Bench (9)
7 H. Onyekuru
4 M. Camara
29 Tiquinho Soares
77 Garry Rodrigues
24 O. Ba
31 Ö. Kristinsson
14 T. Androutsos
17 M. Vrousai
34 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
1 Denis G
14 J. Brabec D
66 E. Šakić M
4 Fabiano D
22 C. Ganea D
18 F. Bertoglio M
88 Lucas Sasha M
6 J. Jeggo M
17 P. N'Diaye M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
Bench (9)
9 D. Manos
16 Bruno Gama
15 J. Iturbe
19 Cristian López
26 Matilla
3 L. Agbenyenu
23 Julián
5 G. Delizisis
29 Y. Benalouane

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Manouhos · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.