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Referee: F Maresca

T T U T T

1–2

Full-time

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

0%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

0%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

0%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

0%

0%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 17. · Inter 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -19 Cagliari – Inter 2–1 29. Sep -18 Inter – Cagliari 2–0 17. Apr -18 Inter – Cagliari 4–0 25. Nov -17 Cagliari – Inter 1–3 5. Mar -17 Cagliari – Inter 1–5

Match report

Cagliari Inter

21′

🟨 Marcelo Brozović

27′

⚽ Lautaro Martínez 0–1

45′

🟨 Kwadwo Asamoah

Half-time 0–1

Giovanni Simeone 🔁

↦ Alberto Cerri

46′

1–1 João Pedro ⚽

Nahitan Nández

50′

Radja Nainggolan 🟨

60′

Luca Ceppitelli 🟨

68′

69′

🔁 Nicolò Barella

↦ Matías Vecino

Fabio Pisacane 🟨

71′

72′

⚽ Romelu Lukaku 1–2

Lucas Castro 🔁

↦ Fabio Pisacane

75′

Artur Ioniță 🟨

76′

78′

🔁 Matteo Politano

↦ Lautaro Martínez

79′

🔁 Diego Godín

↦ Antonio Candreva

Luca Cigarini 🔁

↦ Radja Nainggolan

85′

86′

🟨 Andrea Ranocchia

Nahitan Nández 🟨

88′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2

90

Robin Olsen G

19 Fabio Pisacane D

23 Luca Ceppitelli D

15 Ragnar Klavan D

18 Nahitan Nández M

6 Marko Rog M

4 Radja Nainggolan M

21

Artur Ioniță M

33

Luca Pellegrini M

9

Alberto Cerri F

10 João Pedro F

Bench (12)

20 Simone Aresti

1 Rafael

3 Federico Mattiello

56 Filippo Romagna

2 Simone Pinna

22 Charalampos Lykogiannis

17 Christian Oliva

14 Valter Birsa

8 Luca Cigarini

29 Lucas Castro

26 Daniele Ragatzu

99 Giovanni Simeone

Coach: R. Maran

Inter

3-5-2

1 Samir Handanovič G

33 Danilo D'Ambrosio D

13 Andrea Ranocchia D

37

Milan Škriniar D

87 Antonio Candreva M

8 Matías Vecino M

77 Marcelo Brozović M

12 Stefano Sensi M

18 Kwadwo Asamoah M

9

Romelu Lukaku F

10

Lautaro Martínez F

Bench (12)

27 Daniele Padelli

46 Tommaso Berni

2 Diego Godín

95 Alessandro Bastoni

21 Federico Dimarco

23 Nicolò Barella

19 Valentino Lazaro

20 Borja Valero

5 Roberto Gagliardini

16 Matteo Politano

30 Sebastiano Esposito

11 Alexis Sánchez

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

5,43

🔒

U

3,90

🔒

B ✓

1,65

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,95

🔒

U2,5

1,86

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

25. Aug SA 7 years ago

26. May SA 7 years ago

18. May SA 7 years ago

11. May SA 7 years ago

5. May SA 7 years ago

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,4 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,0 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.