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Serie A

Referee: F Maresca

Sampdoria

S T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 17%

24%

Points per game

0,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

62%

41%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 16. · Genoa 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	34	22	8	4	+30	74
2	Inter	34	21	9	4	+44	72
3	Napoli	35	21	7	7	+36	70
4	Juventus	34	19	9	6	+22	66
5	Roma	34	17	7	10	+15	58
6	Lazio	34	16	8	10	+16	56
7	Fiorentina	34	17	5	12	+8	56
8	Atalanta	34	15	10	9	+18	55
9	Verona	35	14	10	11	+9	52
10	Sassuolo	35	12	10	13	-1	46
11	Torino	34	11	11	12	+6	44
12	Udinese	34	10	13	11	+1	43
13	Bologna	34	11	9	14	-9	42
14	Empoli	34	9	10	15	-17	37
15	Spezia	34	9	6	19	-25	33
16	Sampdoria	34	8	6	20	-16	30
17	Cagliari	35	6	10	19	-32	28
18	Genoa	34	3	16	15	-29	25
19	Salernitana	33	6	7	20	-42	25
20	Venezia	33	5	7	21	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	12	3	2	+27	39
2	Fiorentina	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+13	34
4	Roma	17	10	4	3	+10	34
5	Napoli	18	10	3	5	+18	33
6	Lazio	17	9	5	3	+15	32
7	Juventus	17	9	4	4	+10	31
8	Verona	17	9	3	5	+12	30
9	Torino	17	8	5	4	+12	29
10	Bologna	18	8	4	6	+3	28
11	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+4	25
12	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+0	23
13	Atalanta	17	4	7	6	+3	19
14	Spezia	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-14	16
16	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-7	15
17	Cagliari	18	3	6	9	-11	15
18	Genoa	17	2	8	7	-11	14
19	Salernitana	16	2	5	9	-19	11
20	Venezia	17	2	4	11	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	17	12	4	1	+17	40
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+18	37
3	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Juventus	17	10	5	2	+12	35
5	Inter	17	9	6	2	+17	33
6	Roma	17	7	3	7	+5	24
7	Lazio	17	7	3	7	+1	24
8	Sassuolo	18	6	5	7	-1	23
9	Verona	18	5	7	6	-3	22
10	Empoli	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Fiorentina	17	6	3	8	-6	21
12	Udinese	17	4	6	7	-3	18
13	Torino	17	3	6	8	-6	15
14	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-9	15
15	Spezia	18	4	3	11	-22	15
16	Bologna	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-23	14
18	Cagliari	17	3	4	10	-21	13
19	Venezia	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Genoa	17	1	8	8	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.