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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Real Madrid
T S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Espanol
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 52%
73%
30%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Espanol 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 33 24 6 3 +40 78
2 Sevilla 34 17 13 4 +22 64
3 Barcelona 33 18 9 6 +28 63
4 Ath Madrid 33 18 7 8 +20 61
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 33 15 10 8 +1 55
7 Villarreal 34 14 10 10 +21 52
8 Ath Bilbao 33 12 12 9 +5 48
9 Osasuna 33 12 8 13 -10 44
10 Valencia 33 10 12 11 -4 42
11 Vallecano 33 11 7 15 -4 40
12 Celta 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 -8 39
14 Elche 33 10 8 15 -8 38
15 Getafe 33 8 11 14 -6 35
16 Cadiz 34 6 14 14 -17 32
17 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
18 Granada 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Alaves 34 7 7 20 -28 28
20 Levante 33 5 10 18 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Espanol
1–0 Rodrygo
Marcelo
33′
Mariano Díaz 🟨
42′
2–0 Rodrygo
43′
Half-time 2–0
Casemiro 🟨
46′
3–0 Asensio
E. Camavinga
55′
K. Benzema 🔁
↦ M. Díaz
60′
T. Kroos 🔁
↦ L. Modrić
60′
Isco 🔁
↦ Casemiro
61′
65′
🔁 Manu Morlanes
↦ Melendo
65′
🔁 Wu Lei
↦ Raúl de Tomás
65′
🔁 Dídac Vilá
↦ T. Vilhena
Isco ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
Vinícius Júnior 🔁
↦ Rodrygo
75′
Mario Gila 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
75′
76′
🔁 Fran Mérida
↦ Y. Herrera
4–0 K. Benzema
Vinícius Júnior
81′
83′
🔁 David López
↦ Fernando Calero
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
12 Marcelo D
5 Vallejo D
10 L. Modrić M
14 Casemiro D
17 Lucas Vázquez D
19 Dani Ceballos M
25 E. Camavinga M
24 M. Díaz F
11 Asensio F
21 Rodrygo F
Bench (10)
9 K. Benzema
8 T. Kroos
22 Isco
20 Vinícius Júnior
34 Mario Gila
2 Carvajal
45 Diego Piñeiro
13 A. Lunin
23 F. Mendy
15 F. Valverde

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
4 L. Cabrera D
24 Sergi Gómez D
5 Fernando Calero D
22 Aleix Vidal D
19 T. Vilhena M
10 Darder M
25 Y. Herrera M
14 Melendo M
11 Raúl de Tomás F
9 Javi Puado F
Bench (12)
6 Manu Morlanes
7 Wu Lei
17 Dídac Vilá
8 Fran Mérida
15 David López
1 Oier
18 L. Dimata
21 Nico Melamed
23 Adri Embarba
34 Joan García
2 Miguelón
16 Loren Morón

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,45
B
6,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.