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2. Bundesliga

Ingolstadt

T S U T U

0–4

Full-time

Hamburg

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 28%

13%

42%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

61%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

68%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

7 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 7

0 Corners 9

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ingolstadt 18. · Hamburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	32	18	5	9	+26	59
2	Werder Bremen	32	16	9	7	+17	57
3	Darmstadt	31	16	6	9	+17	54
4	St Pauli	32	15	9	8	+14	54
5	Hamburg	31	13	12	6	+26	51
6	Nurnberg	32	14	9	9	+4	51
7	Paderborn	31	12	11	8	+13	47
8	Heidenheim	32	13	7	12	-6	46
9	Holstein Kiel	32	11	9	12	-9	42
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	10	11	11	+4	41
11	Karlsruhe	32	9	13	10	+1	40
12	Regensburg	31	10	9	12	+3	39
13	Hansa Rostock	31	10	9	12	-10	39
14	Hannover	32	10	9	13	-14	39
15	Sandhausen	32	9	11	12	-12	38
16	Dresden	31	7	9	15	-12	30
17	Erzgebirge Aue	31	5	8	18	-32	23
18	Ingolstadt	31	4	8	19	-30	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	4	2	+18	34
2	Heidenheim	16	9	4	3	+7	31
3	Hamburg	16	8	6	2	+18	30
4	Schalke 04	16	9	2	5	+12	29
5	Darmstadt	15	8	3	4	+10	27
6	Werder Bremen	16	7	6	3	+10	27
7	Nurnberg	16	8	3	5	+4	27
8	Holstein Kiel	16	7	3	6	-3	24
9	Karlsruhe	16	5	8	3	+6	23
10	Regensburg	16	6	4	6	+4	22
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	6	5	+6	21
12	Hannover	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Dresden	15	5	4	6	+1	19
14	Paderborn	16	3	7	6	+0	16
15	Hansa Rostock	15	4	4	7	-7	16
16	Sandhausen	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Erzgebirge Aue	16	3	3	10	-17	12
18	Ingolstadt	15	2	4	9	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	Schalke 04	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Werder Bremen	16	9	3	4	+7	30
4	Darmstadt	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Nurnberg	16	6	6	4	+0	24
6	Sandhausen	16	6	6	4	+0	24
7	Hansa Rostock	16	6	5	5	-3	23
8	Hamburg	15	5	6	4	+8	21
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	St Pauli	16	5	5	6	-4	20
11	Holstein Kiel	16	4	6	6	-6	18
12	Hannover	16	5	3	8	-10	18
13	Regensburg	15	4	5	6	-1	17
14	Karlsruhe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
15	Heidenheim	16	4	3	9	-13	15
16	Dresden	16	2	5	9	-13	11
17	Erzgebirge Aue	15	2	5	8	-15	11
18	Ingolstadt	16	2	4	10	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.