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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
1–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 30/26 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
58%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
40%
73%
Both score Ø 56%
43%
69%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · AZ Alkmaar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 3 3 +74 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 30 20 4 6 +40 64
4 Twente 31 18 8 5 +15 62
5 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 3 8 +17 48
6 Utrecht 29 12 8 9 +9 44
7 Vitesse 26 12 3 11 -9 39
8 Groningen 30 9 9 12 -7 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 30 10 6 14 -9 36
10 Nijmegen 31 9 8 14 -13 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Heracles 31 9 7 15 -10 34
13 Cambuur 30 10 3 17 -18 33
14 For Sittard 30 8 5 17 -30 29
15 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
16 Zwolle 31 7 5 19 -23 26
17 Willem II 30 7 5 18 -28 26
18 Sparta Rotterdam 30 5 10 15 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–1
48′
V. Pavlidis 0–1
Z. Aboukhlal
Adrián Dalmau 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
71′
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
71′
J. van Mullem 🔁
↦ J. de Kamps
76′
80′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
80′
🔁 K. Sowah
↦ V. Pavlidis
L. Jans 🔁
↦ A. Meijers
83′
87′
🔁 A. Witry
↦ J. Karlsson
87′
🔁 P. Hatzidiakos
↦ J. Clasie
1–1 V. van Crooij
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-1-4-1
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
2 D. Abels D
4 A. Auassar D
6 J. de Kamps M
11 Y. Namli M
8 A. Verschueren M
10 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
7 V. van Crooij M
Bench (10)
19 Adrián Dalmau
18 T. Beugelsdijk
16 J. van Mullem
13 L. Jans
30 I. Kort
14 M. Heylen
15 J. Meerstadt
20 T. Coremans
12 G. Masouras
17 M. Afaker

Coach: M. Steijn

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 P. Vindahl G
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 O. Wijndal D
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
20 J. Clasie M
6 F. Midtsjø M
24 T. Reijnders M
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson M
7 Z. Aboukhlal M
Bench (9)
18 H. Evjen
8 K. Sowah
15 A. Witry
3 P. Hatzidiakos
14 P. Koopmeiners
16 B. Reus
54 S. Westerveld
10 D. de Wit
26 M. Kerkez

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,81
U ✓
3,65
B
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.