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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Stuttgart
S U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 27%
19%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Wolfsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 24 3 4 +62 75
2 Dortmund 31 20 3 8 +31 63
3 Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +28 55
4 RB Leipzig 31 16 6 9 +33 54
5 Freiburg 31 14 10 7 +15 52
6 Union Berlin 32 14 9 9 +2 51
7 FC Koln 31 13 10 8 +2 49
8 Hoffenheim 31 13 7 11 +5 46
9 Ein Frankfurt 31 10 10 11 -2 40
10 Mainz 31 11 6 14 +2 39
11 M'gladbach 31 10 8 13 -13 38
12 Wolfsburg 31 11 4 16 -12 37
13 Bochum 31 10 6 15 -15 36
14 Augsburg 31 9 8 14 -11 35
15 Hertha 31 9 5 17 -32 32
16 Stuttgart 31 6 10 15 -19 28
17 Bielefeld 31 5 11 15 -25 26
18 Greuther Furth 32 3 9 20 -51 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
13′
J. Brooks 0–1
M. Arnold
Borna Sosa 🟨
22′
Wataru Endo 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
Atakan Karazor 🟨
55′
P. Förster 🔁
↦ Omar Marmoush
57′
C. Führich 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
57′
61′
🟨 Xaver Schlager
66′
🟨 Lukas Nmecha
72′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ Y. Gerhardt
73′
🔁 F. Nmecha
↦ L. Nmecha
80′
🔁 M. van de Ven
↦ J. Roussillon
E. Millot 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
84′
1–1 C. Führich
E. Millot
89′
92′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ M. Kruse
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-3
1 F. Müller G
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
11 E. Thommy M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
17 Omar Marmoush F
18 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
20 P. Förster
22 C. Führich
8 E. Millot
23 O. Mangala
30 R. Massimo
33 F. Bredlow
43 L. Bazzoli
50 A. Tibidi
7 T. Coulibaly

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
9 M. Kruse F
10 L. Nmecha F
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
8 A. Vranckx
22 F. Nmecha
5 M. van de Ven
17 M. Philipp
19 K. Mbabu
12 P. Pervan
28 D. Lukébakio
21 B. Białek
11 R. Steffen

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,65
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.