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Superligaen
Referee: Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen
Aalborg
T T U T U
2–1
Full-time
Brondby
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 10. · Brondby 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Silkeborg 6 4 1 1 +6 13
2 Aarhus 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Nordsjaelland 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Randers FC 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 FC Copenhagen 6 3 0 3 +3 9
6 Viborg 6 3 0 3 +1 9
7 Horsens 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Midtjylland 6 1 3 2 +0 6
9 Brondby 5 2 0 3 -4 6
10 Aalborg 5 0 2 3 -5 2
11 Lyngby 6 0 2 4 -6 2
12 Odense 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Brondby
1–0 Allan Sousa
10′
Kilian Ludewig 🟨
27′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Salech
↦ M. Divković
Mathias Ross 🟨
55′
58′
M. Kvistgaarden 1–1
M. Greve
Anosike Ementa 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 A. Ben Slimane
↦ O. Schwartau
J. Ahlmann 🔁
↦ A. Poulsen
66′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ L. Andersen
66′
M. Makarić 🔁
↦ A. Ementa
76′
83′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ M. Greve
2–1 M. Ross
Allan Sousa
87′
D. Granli 🔁
↦ Allan Sousa
91′
92′
🔁 F. Alves
↦ J. Bell
Josip Posavec 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-5-1
1 J. Posavec G
32 K. Ludewig D
21 L. Kramer D
4 M. Ross D
25 A. Poulsen D
18 L. Prip M
8 I. Fossum M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
10 L. Andersen M
7 Allan Sousa M
19 A. Ementa F
Bench (9)
3 J. Ahlmann
38 O. Ross
9 M. Makarić
5 D. Granli
31 A. Noshe
2 K. Pallesen
17 K. Kusk
22 T. Sander
14 M. Højholt

Coach: L. Friis

Brondby

4-3-1-2
16 T. Mikkelsen G
10 D. Wass D
4 S. Rosted D
18 K. Tshiembe D
23 C. Cappis D
8 M. Greve M
22 J. Radošević M
6 J. Bell M
41 O. Schwartau M
24 M. Divković F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
38 Y. Salech
25 A. Ben Slimane
29 P. Bjur
32 F. Alves
3 H. Heggheim
19 B. Kvist
50 L. Ziegler
2 S. Sebulonsen
39 M. Larsen

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.