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Serie A

Referee: F Fourneau

Napoli

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Monza

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

3,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

7,0

3,0

Scored

5,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

22 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 4. · Monza 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.