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Serie B
Referee: N Baroni
1–2
Full-time
Venezia
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 8
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 20. · Venezia 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Genoa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Reggina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Cosenza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Bari 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Parma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Como 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Benevento 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Spal 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Perugia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Venezia
L. Belardinelli 🔁
↦ F. Tait
40′
43′
🟨 Gianluca Busio
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Odogwu
M. Carretta
60′
62′
🟨 Pietro Ceccaroni
63′
🔁 J. Pohjanpalo
↦ A. Novakovich
63′
🔁 M. Cuisance
↦ G. Busio
S. Mazzocchi 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
66′
S. Davì 🔁
↦ M. Carretta
66′
F. Berra 🔁
↦ T. DOrazio
77′
78′
🔁 A. Connolly
↦ D. Johnsen
78′
🔁 J. De Vries
↦ N. Pierini
83′
M. Cuisance 1–1
J. Pohjanpalo
90′
🟨 Francesco Zampano
95′
M. Curto 2–1
own goal
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

1 G. Poluzzi G
26 F. De Col D
5 K. Vinetot D
4 M. Curto D
11 T. D'Orazio D
21 F. Tait M
23 M. Pompetti M
14 H. Nicolussi M
10 M. Carretta F
90 R. Odogwu F
18 M. Rover F
Bench (12)
16 L. Belardinelli
9 S. Mazzocchi
24 S. Davì
2 F. Berra
19 G. Zaro
37 C. Capone
12 S. Harrasser
28 R. Kofler
22 A. Iacobucci
8 D. Voltan
6 A. Barison
17 D. Casiraghi

Venezia

4-3-3
66 J. Joronen G
7 F. Zampano D
2 P. Wiśniewski D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
5 R. Haps D
33 D. Črnigoj M
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
25 N. Pierini F
11 A. Novakovich F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
20 J. Pohjanpalo
10 M. Cuisance
9 A. Connolly
14 J. De Vries
38 M. Kofod Andersen
23 P. Leal
13 M. Modolo
1 N. Mäenpää
47 H. St Clair
30 M. Svoboda
36 F. Zabala
12 Bruno

Coach: I. Javorčić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
3,10
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Baroni · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.