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Serie B
Referee: E Feliciani
Cosenza
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Modena
S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 7. · Modena 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Genoa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Reggina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Cosenza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Bari 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Parma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Como 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Benevento 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Spal 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Perugia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Modena
33′
N. Bonfanti 0–1
F. Ponsi
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Giorgio Cittadini
Idriz Voca 🟨
57′
P. Gozzi 🔁
↦ C. Panico
62′
M. Brescianini 🔁
↦ A. Vallocchia
62′
1–1 A. Florenzi
C. D'Urso
67′
68′
🔁 S. Panada
↦ F. Gerli
68′
🔁 D. Diaw
↦ N. Bonfanti
74′
🔁 N. Mosti
↦ L. Tremolada
75′
🔁 M. Minesso
↦ D. Falcinelli
K. Butić 🔁
↦ J. Larrivey
76′
77′
🟨 Davide Diaw
2–1 M. Brescianini
80′
P. Martino 🔁
↦ A. Rispoli
85′
A. Meroni 🔁
↦ C. DUrso
85′
85′
🔁 Paulo Azzi
↦ M. Gargiulo
95′
🟨 Simone Panada
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
31 K. Matošević G
3 A. Rispoli D
5 M. Rigione D
15 S. Väisänen D
14 C. Panico D
42 I. Voca M
21 A. Vallocchia M
11 E. Brignola M
10 C. D'Urso M
34 A. Florenzi M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gozzi
4 M. Brescianini
32 K. Butić
27 P. Martino
13 A. Meroni
23 M. Venturi
77 L. Marson
36 R. Kongolo
48 A. Arioli
40 M. Zilli
18 D. Merola
67 T. Prestianni

Coach: D. Dionigi

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
57 M. Coppolaro D
15 T. Silvestri D
5 G. Cittadini D
3 F. Ponsi D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
20 M. Gargiulo M
10 L. Tremolada M
11 D. Falcinelli F
9 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
43 S. Panada
99 D. Diaw
8 N. Mosti
18 M. Minesso
27 Paulo Azzi
23 T. Battistella
96 S. Oukhadda
19 R. Giovannini
1 A. Narciso
28 S. De Maio
21 M. Armellino
33 F. Renzetti

Coach: A. Tesser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,07
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.