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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Angers
S T S U U
1–3
Full-time
Brest
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 11. · Brest 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Lille 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Monaco 3 1 1 1 -2 4
8 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Clermont 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Angers 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Nice 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Strasbourg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Nantes 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Brest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Ajaccio 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Auxerre 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Reims 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Brest
10′
J. Le Douaron 0–1
Y. Belaïli
Halid Šabanović 🟥
34′
38′
J. Le Douaron 0–2
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
42′
Half-time 0–2
Sada Thioub 🟨
47′
Loïs Diony 🟨
49′
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
61′
W. Taibi 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
62′
A. Salama 🔁
↦ L. Diony
62′
65′
A. Dari 0–3
Y. Belaïli
66′
🔁 F. Honorat
↦ Y. Belaïli
1–3 S. Boufal
A. Salama
70′
86′
🔁 K. Dembélé
↦ Mathias Lage
86′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ J. Le Douaron
A. Bobichon 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
87′
90′
🔁 H. Mbock
↦ H. Magnetti
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
4 H. Šabanović D
22 C. Hountondji D
5 M. Blažič D
3 S. Doumbia D
2 B. Mendy M
15 P. Capelle M
92 S. Thioub M
8 A. Ounahi M
23 A. Hunou M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bamba
7 S. Boufal
26 W. Taibi
11 A. Salama
21 A. Bobichon
10 H. Abdelli
29 O. Camara
31 I. Chetti
30 Y. Fofana

Coach: G. Baticle

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
2 J. Duverne D
5 B. Chardonnet D
4 A. Dari D
3 L. Brassier D
8 H. Magnetti M
7 H. Belkebla M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
29 Mathias Lage F
22 J. Le Douaron F
31 Y. Belaïli F
Bench (8)
9 F. Honorat
18 K. Dembélé
14 I. Cardona
28 H. Mbock
23 C. Hérelle
33 A. Camblan
1 J. Blázquez
21 J. Uronen

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,34
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.