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Europa League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Roma
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Plzen
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,28 xG 0,16
68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Plzen
20′
⚽ P. Adu 0–1
M. Jedlicka
22′
⚽ C. Souare 0–2
S. Dweh
30′
🟨 Rafiu Durosinmi
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ J. Ziolkowski
30′
Half-time 0–2
N. Pisilli 🔁
↦ M. Kone
46′
Niccolò Pisilli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
52′
1–2 P. Dybala ⚽
54′
Zeki Çelik 🟨
56′
60′
🟨 Cheick Souaré
64′
🔁 S. Markovic
↦ V. Jemelka
64′
🔁 D. Visinsky
↦ T. Ladra
67′
🟨 Karel Spáčil
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ Z. Celik
67′
68′
🔁 M. Havel
↦ J. Paluska
E. Ndicka 🔁
↦ M. Soule
74′
E. Ferguson 🔁
↦ A. Dovbyk
74′
75′
🟨 Lukáš Červ
Gianluca Mancini 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 J. Bello
↦ P. Adu
81′
🔁 A. Zeljkovic
↦ K. Spacil
96′
🟨 Denis Višinský
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
24 J. Ziolkowski D
23 G. Mancini D
22 M. Hermoso D
19 Z. Celik M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
17 M. Kone M
43 Wesley Franca M
21 P. Dybala F
18 M. Soule F
9 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (12)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
2 D. Rensch
4 B. Cristante
5 E. Ndicka
7 L. Pellegrini
11 E. Ferguson
12 K. Tsimikas
31 L. Bailey
61 N. Pisilli
87 D. Ghilardi
92 S. El Shaarawy

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini

Plzen

4-1-4-1
23 M. Jedlicka G
22 J. Paluska D
40 S. Dweh D
21 V. Jemelka D
19 C. Souare D
5 K. Spacil M
99 A. Memic M
6 L. Cerv M
18 T. Ladra M
80 P. Adu M
17 R. Durosinmi F
Bench (8)
13 M. Tvrdon
44 F. Wiegele
3 S. Markovic
7 C. Kabongo
9 D. Visinsky
24 M. Havel
72 J. Bello
85 A. Zeljkovic

Coach: Miroslav Koubek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.