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Serie A
Referee: A Rapuano
Cagliari
S S S T T
0–0
Full-time
Lazio
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
28%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
48%
28%
Both score Ø 36%
48%
24%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,58 xG 0,64
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 13. · Lazio 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 26 21 1 4 +41 +33.0 64
2 Milan 25 15 9 1 +22 +13.1 54
3 Napoli 25 15 5 5 +13 +8.2 50
4 Roma 25 15 2 8 +15 +8.3 47
5 Juventus 26 13 7 6 +18 +22.9 46
6 Como 26 12 9 5 +22 +16.6 45
7 Atalanta 25 11 9 5 +13 +9.4 42
8 Sassuolo 26 10 5 11 -3 -7.6 35
9 Bologna 25 9 6 10 +2 -0.6 33
10 Lazio 25 8 9 8 +1 -8.3 33
11 Udinese 25 9 5 11 -10 -6.4 32
12 Parma 25 7 8 10 -13 -14.3 29
13 Cagliari 25 7 7 11 -7 -12.7 28
14 Torino 25 7 6 12 -19 -8.7 27
15 Genoa 25 5 9 11 -8 -2.0 24
16 Cremonese 25 5 9 11 -12 -14.2 24
17 Lecce 26 6 6 14 -16 -17.4 24
18 Fiorentina 25 4 9 12 -10 +3.7 21
19 Pisa 25 1 12 12 -22 -13.8 15
20 Verona 26 2 9 15 -27 -9.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Lazio
Yerry Mina 🟨
25′
R. Idrissi 🔁
↦ L. Mazzitelli
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
Zé Pedro 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ N. Rovella
60′
🔁 M. Cancellieri
↦ G. Isaksen
64′
🟨 Oliver Provstgaard
72′
🔁 N. Tavares
↦ L. Pellegrini
72′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ D. Maldini
Y. Trepy 🔁
↦ S. Esposito
73′
Yerry Mina 🟨
85′
Yerry Mina 🟥
85′
85′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ M. Zaccagni
G. Zappa 🔁
↦ S. Kilicsoy
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-4-2
1 E. Caprile G
32 J. Pedro D
26 Y. Mina D
22 A. Dossena D
33 A. Obert D
2 M. Palestra M
8 M. Adopo M
4 L. Mazzitelli M
25 I. Sulemana M
9 S. Kilicsoy F
94 S. Esposito F
Bench (11)
12 A. Sherri
24 G. Ciocci
3 R. Idrissi
15 J. Rodriguez
18 O. Raterink
20 A. Albarracin
27 J. Liteta
28 G. Zappa
30 L. Pavoletti
31 P. Mendy
37 Y. Trepy

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marusic D
13 A. Romagnoli D
25 O. Provstgaard D
3 L. Pellegrini D
21 R. Belahyane M
6 N. Rovella M
24 K. Taylor M
18 G. Isaksen F
27 D. Maldini F
10 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
55 A. Furlanetto
40 E. Motta
4 Patric
23 E. Hysaj
17 N. Tavares
32 D. Cataldi
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
28 A. Przyborek
22 M. Cancellieri
19 B. Dia
14 T. Noslin
20 P. Ratkov

Coach: Maurizio Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,30
U ✓
3,05
B
2,30
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.