Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cagliari
Lazio
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | +41 | +33.0 | 64 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
25 | 15 | 9 | 1 | +22 | +13.1 | 54 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | +13 | +8.2 | 50 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | +15 | +8.3 | 47 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +18 | +22.9 | 46 |
| 6 |
Como
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +22 | +16.6 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +13 | +9.4 | 42 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -3 | -7.6 | 35 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +2 | -0.6 | 33 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +1 | -8.3 | 33 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -10 | -6.4 | 32 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -13 | -14.3 | 29 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -7 | -12.7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -19 | -8.7 | 27 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -8 | -2.0 | 24 |
| 16 |
Cremonese
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -12 | -14.2 | 24 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -16 | -17.4 | 24 |
| 18 |
Fiorentina
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -10 | +3.7 | 21 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
25 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -22 | -13.8 | 15 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -27 | -9.1 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Caprile
G
J. Pedro
D
Y. Mina
D
A. Dossena
D
A. Obert
D
M. Adopo
M
L. Mazzitelli
M
I. Sulemana
M
S. Kilicsoy
F
S. Esposito
F
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
I. Provedel
G
A. Marusic
D
A. Romagnoli
D
O. Provstgaard
D
L. Pellegrini
D
R. Belahyane
M
N. Rovella
M
K. Taylor
M
G. Isaksen
F
D. Maldini
F
M. Zaccagni
F
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cagliari
Lecce
Roma
Cagliari
Cagliari
Verona
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Cagliari
Juventus
A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.