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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

T U U U T

2–0

Full-time

Wolfsberger AC

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Wolfsberger AC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

37%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

47%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

63%

68%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,51 xG 0,73

49% Possession 51%

7 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 7. · Wolfsberger AC 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	19	9	6	4	+13	+6.1	33
2	LASK	19	10	3	6	+4	+1.7	33
3	Austria Vienna	19	10	2	7	+3	+0.3	32
4	Sturm Graz	19	10	1	8	+4	+3.2	31
5	Hartberg	19	7	7	5	+4	-2.7	28
6	Ried	19	8	3	8	-1	-0.8	27
7	SK Rapid	19	7	5	7	-2	-0.9	26
8	Wolfsberger AC	19	7	4	8	+3	-5.0	25
9	Altach	19	6	7	6	+0	-0.8	25
10	Tirol	19	6	6	7	-2	+5.1	24
11	Grazer AK	19	3	8	8	-12	-2.6	17
12	BW Linz	19	4	2	13	-14	-3.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
2	Salzburg	10	5	2	3	+8	+3.2	17
3	Altach	9	4	4	1	+3	+2.7	16
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	1	4	-1	+1.6	16
5	Ried	10	4	3	3	+1	+0.2	15
6	Tirol	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.7	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	2	4	+2	-1.4	14
8	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.6	12
9	SK Rapid	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.3	11
10	Grazer AK	10	2	5	3	-2	-0.2	11
11	BW Linz	10	3	1	6	-3	-0.6	10
12	Sturm Graz	9	3	1	5	-5	+1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	10	7	0	3	+9	+1.9	21
2	Salzburg	9	4	4	1	+5	+2.9	16
3	Austria Vienna	9	5	1	3	+4	-1.4	16
4	Hartberg	10	4	4	2	+3	-2.1	16
5	SK Rapid	10	4	3	3	-1	-1.2	15
6	LASK	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.5	14
7	Ried	9	4	0	5	-2	-1.0	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	9	3	2	4	+1	-3.6	11
9	Tirol	10	2	4	4	-4	+2.4	10
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-3	-3.5	9
11	Grazer AK	9	1	3	5	-10	-2.4	6
12	BW Linz	9	1	1	7	-11	-2.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.