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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Darmstadt
U S U S U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,87 xG 1,66
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Darmstadt 2. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 22 13 4 5 +11 +7.2 43
2 Darmstadt 22 11 9 2 +18 +7.1 42
3 Elversberg 22 12 5 5 +15 +0.1 41
4 Hannover 22 12 5 5 +11 +11.2 41
5 Paderborn 22 12 4 6 +9 +8.7 40
6 Hertha 22 9 7 6 +7 -4.3 34
7 Kaiserslautern 22 10 4 8 +5 -0.9 34
8 Nurnberg 23 8 6 9 -2 +1.5 30
9 Bochum 23 7 8 8 +3 +5.9 29
10 Bielefeld 23 7 6 10 +4 +0.7 27
11 Karlsruhe 22 7 6 9 -11 -16.0 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -11 -2.5 25
13 Braunschweig 22 7 4 11 -12 +0.7 25
14 Holstein Kiel 22 6 6 10 -4 -11.9 24
15 Preußen Münster 22 5 8 9 -7 -5.8 23
16 Magdeburg 22 7 2 13 -8 +5.5 23
17 Greuther Furth 23 6 4 13 -20 -7.1 22
18 Dresden 22 5 6 11 -8 -0.0 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 F. Hornby
M. Richter
6′
11′
J. de Wijs 1–1
F. Muslija
16′
🔁 J. Daland
↦ J. de Wijs
Sergio López 🟨
19′
Marco Richter 🟨
41′
Isac Lidberg 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ F. Holland
46′
46′
🔁 V. Lunddal
↦ C. Lenz
R. Petretta 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
68′
M. Papela 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
73′
82′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ S. Tanaka
2–1 M. Maglica
M. Richter
88′
89′
🔁 J. Paulina
↦ S. Appelkamp
A. Vukotic 🔁
↦ M. Richter
90′
Killian Corredor 🟨
96′
96′
🟥 Jesper Daland
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 S. Lopez D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
5 M. Maglica D
32 F. Holland D
17 K. Klefisch M
31 N. Schmidt M
23 M. Richter M
9 F. Hornby M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
4 G. Dettoni
8 L. Marseiler
16 H. Akiyama
18 R. Petretta
19 F. Lakenmacher
20 A. Vukotic
21 M. Papela
44 Y. Furukawa

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-1-4-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
15 T. Oberdorf D
44 E. Egouli D
30 J. de Wijs D
16 S. Tanaka M
19 E. Iyoha M
8 A. El Azzouzi M
24 F. Muslija M
3 C. Lenz M
13 C. Itten F
23 S. Appelkamp F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lotka
2 J. Daland
5 M. Heyer
9 Z. Celar
10 C. Rasmussen
12 V. Lunddal
14 S. Alexandropoulos
25 M. Zimmermann
27 J. Paulina

Coach: Markus Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,43
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.